Regulators in doubt where to wait for crisis

Regulators in doubt: where to wait for a crisis?

The financial crisis seems to have become an expected part of the economic cycle, but they seldom repeat themselves. In 1980-ies. was a hotbed of Latin America, in the late 1990s. – Russia and South-East Asia in 2007-2008. – US banks and the real estate market.
Today, some fear that a new crisis will happen in the asset management sector.

sector companies control $ 87 trillion, of BlackRock investment fund in the world’s biggest manages assets of $ 4.4 trillion, which is higher than the balance of any bank giant.
After the recent financial crisis, regulators have tightened business rules for banks: now they must have more capital and sufficient liquidity to cope with short-term pressures. But it can be an act of “the last and decisive battle.”

Having a situation where banks have sharply reduced their lending, companies are increasingly turning to debt instruments (which are mostly owned by investment funds) for lending, writes the British magazine The Economist.
asset management companies have been the cause of the financial problems in the past.

The collapse in 1998, the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management, which led by industry veterans, professors, and two Nobel Prize winners, has led to this shock on Wall Street and the urgent intervention of the Federal Reserve. Trying to save two hedge fund was one of the main reasons for the collapse of Bear Stearns in 2008
That same year, the money market funds managed by a group of Reserve, announced that the net value of its assets fell below $ 1 ( “break the buck”), with the result that the Fed once again had to intervene urgently.
All these events are quite concerned about the regulators.

In January, the international organization Financial Stability Board (Financial Stability Board) published a consultative paper, which offers qualified Asset management companies as “systemically important financial institutions” and their activities are strictly regulated.
The latest report of the Bank of England expressed concern about pension funds and insurance companies that are no longer performing the role of stabilization in the market and are increasingly using short-term market decline to make a profit by buying cheap assets.
In response, the asset management sector expressed their counterarguments. Firstly, funds act as stewards of capital clients, which is placed in separate accounts (with a third party, they act as gatekeepers). Banks such as Lehman Brothers, on the contrary, speculating customers money on their behalf.
Even if the asset management company will declare bankruptcy, its assets will be transferred to a competitor without losses to investors.

Hundreds of closed-end mutual funds every year, and their care has minimal impact on the market and does not require a rescue from the government.
Secondly, a comparison with incorrectly banks; except for hedge funds, asset management companies tend not to work with borrowed money. BlackRock balance of only $ 8.7 billion, while HSBC is almost $ 2.7 trillion, which is 300 times greater. Thus, the funds less vulnerable to an unexpected drop in prices for assets than banks that confirmed the crisis of 2008
Third, there is little evidence that the asset management company can become a cause of panic in the market. According to a nationwide non-profit organization The Investment Company Institute, the fall of 2008 or the stock market is at its lowest point in the mutual funds accounted for only 6% of all the shares of sales in New York.
All these arguments are quite convincing, and regulators do not hide that they are in a difficult situation, like between a rock and a hard place. Their goal is to anticipate future crises that may not be similar to the past. Following this logic, they are closely monitoring those sectors in which there was no crisis.

This alarm can be compared with the risk to the well-known game “Beat the mole” (Whack-a-mole), when the hammer has one seat and a toy mole jumps out from another location.
Some of the problems that worry regulators were partly their fault. For example, lack of liquidity in the corporate bond market is a result of the restrictions imposed after the crisis. If regulators this time decide to “put pressure” on the investment funds and asset management companies, they can get a situation similar to the game “Beat the mole.”

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ACI Moving Average

ACI Moving Average

Tired select setting indicator, losing precious time? Tired of the uncertainty of their optimality? Frightening uncertainty in their profitability? Then ACI indicator (automatically calibrated indicator) is designed just for you. Running it, you can easily eliminate these three questions, only doing one simple action: clicking on a single “Calibrate” button. And in order to achieve the highest efficiency, to make enough just another additional step: move the slider to the maximum capacity.

ACI will save you a lot of time that can be spent on more useful exercise, for example, on vacation, but the efficiency will increase many times. On top, thanks to a separate graphical user interface, you can not only observe, but also to easily change the display settings on the fly at the same time with the ability to visually select the chart area for their calibration.

calibrated indicator

As used indicator calibrated standard Moving Average, which is present in the terminal. Are used as calibratable parameters:

  1. The averaging period for calculating the moving average.
  2. The shift indicator in relation to the price chart.
  3. The averaging method:
    • simple averaging,
    • exponential averaging,
    • smoothed average,
    • linearly-weighted averaging.
  4. Used Price:
    • The closing price,
    • the opening price,
    • The maximum price for the period,
    • The minimum price for the period,
    • The median price,
    • The typical price
    • The weighted average price.

To calculate the quality (profitnye) using traditional signals to input and output:

If the closing price of the last bar formed above or equal to the value of the indicator in the same bar, the signal is considered for purchase. Otherwise, the signal will be considered for sale.

ACI

Automatic calibrator and calibrated by the indicator can be controlled thanks to the graphical interface of ACI, which reduces the number of actions on your part to a minimum. To start the calibration process, you must click on the “Calibrate” corresponding button. When power calibration mark reaches said calibration stop or else it can be stopped by clicking.

Furthermore calibration, ACI also calculates and displays the fly quality (profitnye) calibrated indicator parameters selected for a specified time section of the chart, the calculation is performed by the method specified in the settings (setting “Criterion for calibration”). Temporary change of land on the chart, you can use levels, it needs to move the cursor to the upper or lower part of the level, select it and click start moving.

If necessary, you can increase or decrease the power ( “Power”) calibrator by moving the slider on the clockwise or counter-clockwise, respectively, where the dial a transparent area allows you to adjust from 0% to 20% of the total power, the green from 20% to 50% , and red from 50% to 100%.

If necessary, one can work with multiple copies of the indicator on the same graph.

settings

The indicator has a lot of settings, ranging from setting calibrated indicator and ending settings GUI ACI.

parameter name
Description
Moving Average default settings
Default MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average by default. 
Default MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart by default. 
Default MA Method The default method of averaging. 
Default MA Price The default price. 
Power
Default Power Default power to achieve the calibration.
Maximum Power  Maximum power.
Criterion
Criterion for Calibration  Criterion calibration. Method for calculating the quality (profitnye).
If you select “Total_Net_Profit”, the quality = total net profit (in pips) – the total net loss (in pips).
If you select “Total_Net_Profit_Total_Drawdown”, then profitnye = total net profit (in pips) – the total net loss (in pips) – the total of all signals maximum drawdown (in pips).
As the prices are the only bars’ closing prices.
Selected interval of the chart 
 Start bar  Bar to indicate the start time segment.
 Finish bar  Bar to indicate the end time segment.
 Moving Average regulator settings
 Minimum MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average, at least.
 Minimum MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart, at least.
 Minimum MA Method The method of averaging, minimum.
 Minimum MA Price Used price, at least.
 Maximum MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average, maximum.
 Maximum MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart, maximum.
 Maximum MA Method The method of averaging, maximum.
 Maximum MA Price Used price maximum.
UI panel settings
 Panel size The size (in pixels) of the panel. 0 – automatic calculation of the size.
 Panel Transparent The level of transparency of the panel. 0 – fully visible, 100 – completely transparent.
 Panel color The main color of the panel.
 Font color of panel Color panel fonts.
 Quality color  Color quality index (profitnye).

ACI Moving Average

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Mr Lowry EA

Mr Lowry EA

Mr. Lowry EA – Counselor, allowing you to apply the strategy developed by Scott Lawrie from the intersection of moving averages in different situations, for example:

  • You can specify different application periods. The program runs on a specified period of time regardless of the schedule on which it is running.
  • You can specify the maximum spread in the performance of operations, saving on unnecessary high commissions and increase profits.
  • If desired, you can customize the use of a mobile stop level.
  • You can also configure the use of take-profit. Check the number of characters in your broker’s quotes.
  • The lot size can be calculated based on a percentage of your capital. It is recommended to use from 0.01 to 0.05 lots for each $ 1,000 of capital.
  • Taking into account the time difference in different markets, you can determine the time at which the operation should be open or closed.

Input parameters:

  1. Trading Style: trading style. “Intraday” mode is used to close the transaction on the same day. The “Swing” mode, the transaction will be closed in the same week. When the mode “Position trading” the transaction will remain open for more than one week.
  2. Day for start trading: the first day of trading (the default values ​​are optimized for use on server time GMT + 2).
  3. Day for end trading: Day Trade Deadline. (The default values ​​are optimized for use on server time GMT + 2)
  4. Hour start trading: hour pre-trade (0-24). (The default values ​​are optimized for use on server time GMT + 2)
  5. Hour close trading: hour of trading end (0-24). (The default values ​​are optimized for use on server time GMT + 2)
  6. Main period: period for the advisor.
  7. Max value for spread: maximum spread.
  8. Volume: lot size for every thousand of your capital.
  9. Tecnical settings: setting each of the three moving averages.
  10. Close Winning trades: the conditions for the closing of winning trades, as well as the desired level of SL, TP and minimum income.
  11. Close losing trades: the conditions for the closure of loss-making positions.
  12. UsePenalizationFactor: at a value of true, the penalty factor will be used in case of consecutive losses.

Important: The default values ​​are optimized advisor on historical data for the past 10 years in the pairs AUD / USD, EUR / JPY, EUR / GBP, EUR / USD, GBP / JPY and GBP / USD to 5 characters after the decimal point and the basic period of 240 minutes. When using this advisor should be understood that these results are not a guarantee of success in the future, and that no one except you will not be liable for any decisions or investments you have made in the market.

When tested in the tester strategies do not forget that the adviser working on the main configured timeframe specified in the settings, regardless of the schedule period in which the adviser working. For example, if a tester is selected period of 5 minutes, but the parameters specified period of 240 minutes, all calculations will be made for a period of 240 minutes, but they will be visualized in the graph and calculated according to 5 min 5 min. This allows for faster and more accurate testing the strategy tester using the opening price of minute bars. The results will be very similar to the results in the “Every tick”, but testing is much faster.

Mr Lowry EA

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MyPosition

MyPosition

introduction

Often trading opportunities appear unexpectedly and almost always require fast and precise execution. Intuitive myPosition tool is designed precisely for such situations. Just drag the stop level and the entrance to the desired value, and the tool will take care of the size and position of the target price.

No hot keys or unwanted windows – panel myPosition always positioned at the right edge in the vicinity of the current price and is always ready for use.

position is calculated based on user preferences. You can select one or two goals, the risk of a percentage or a fixed amount of any financial instrument.

myPosition panel instantly adjusts and distributes harmoniously stop input, the purpose and size of the position relative to each other at the time, how you plan to trade by moving myPosition on the chart. Never before have you seen your settings with such clarity. This reduces stress and helps to minimize errors caused by the long tedious routine tasks manually and makes planning for the next transaction in the exciting process.

Tool “myPosition” works as a standalone product, customized specifically for your shopping needs, from scalping to position trading, on any timeframe. If desired, for a more complete input system, you can optionally use ‘myEntry’.

Capabilities

  • All levels are graphically displayed on the graph.
  • Takes the position of 1 or 2 parts.
  • It calculates the size of the position on the basis of: (a) a fixed value, (b) interest risk on account balance, available funds or free margin.
  • Adjustable parameters risk ratio for profit.
  • Automatically draws the purpose (s).
  • Do not ignore the spread:
    • It calculates the true value of the risk to reward ratio, including in the calculation of the spread.
    • Draws on the chart the correct price of supply and demand – the yellow line BID and red dotted line ASK.
    • Intelligently adapts to the warrants for the purchase and sale.
  • Customizable “buffer” item to enter and stops for a candle or price patterns.
  • Suitable for any trader, for any timeframe.
  • It can be used for stop-and limit orders.
  • Tested free in the strategy tester.

Instructions for use

  • Drag the levels of stops and the entrance to the approximate desired value.
  • Press ADJUST settings button, and the program will adjust the size of the input and outputs.

Options

myPosition panel options are easy to use. The default values ​​are:

The overall risk is 2% of the account balance to the transaction for the position of two parts, the purpose of at least 1: 1 for positions 1 and 2: 1 for the 2 position.

(The default values ​​are shown in parentheses)

  • Risk (2.0) – selected risk percentage or fixed value, for example, 2% of the account balance per trade or $ 100 on the deal.
  • RiskMethod (1) – 1 = percent balance, 2 = a fixed value.
  • AccountSizeMethod (1) – percentage of account balance = 1, 2 = available funds, 3 = free margin. The parameter is not used when the risk in the form of a fixed amount.
  • Target1RR (1.0) – the number of points in relation to risk. For example, for the purpose of 1: 1 point 1.0, Goal 2: 1 point 2.0, etc.
  • Target2RR (2.0) – the same parameter for the target price the second position. When trading position in one portion specify the value 0.
  • EntryBuffer (0) – the number of points at which the input level is changed in accordance with a candle or pattern ADJUST button after clicking on myPosition panel. For brokers with five-digit quotes 10 points is 1 pip.
  • StopBuffer (20) – the number of points for placing a stop level for candles or pattern after pressing the ADJUST button. For a five-digit quotes brokers 20 points 2 = pip.
  • ShowPrice (true) – Display the entry price, stop and exit on the chart.
  • ShowAsk (true) – displaying prices ASK demand as a red dotted line showing the levels for placing orders with uchetorm spread.
  • ShowComment (true) – Display options trading at the top of the chart.
  • Floating_Offset (20) – the right distance between the current candle and floating tool.

NoteIf you do not want to take into account the spread in the order management system, and set the parameters AdjustRiskForSpread AdjustRewardForSpread in is false. Not recommended.

MyPosition

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Forex Black Hole

Forex Black Hole

Why Black Hole?

Black Hole adviser works on the same principle as that of black holes in the solar system.

This adviser takes advantage of market movements in any direction for 24 hours, five days a week.

It is a reliable adviser to the type of Martingale, applying stop-loss, trailing stops and profit-taking on all orders at predetermined percentage of the total bill.

Watch the video. To save the size and time of the video is a small first visual test, and then normal.

Please note that the facilities are not used in the test mode in order to save space and time.

Forex Black Hole

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Why do traders lose

Why do traders lose? (Continued)

A very interesting question, and let’s try to figure it out (continue the theme – https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/69 and https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/126) .

Let us consider a typical example, analyzing the schedule, e.g. GBPUSD H12:

Why do traders lose

On the chart the general trend is down, but as long as pullback – turn ind.4 and blue ind.3.

Our last action – profit for the fastest indicator (on the schedule – is turning blue ind.3).

Further analysis should show the future scenario of possible actions. This two options:

1. After the rollback downward trend will continue.

2. Rollback can develop into a general trend reversal.

The best option – to wait for a reversal trend upward as open a position in the continuation of the trend is very dangerous.

The second option – to wait for a reversal of all the one-way indicator. This is the correct version, but still dangerous enough, because of the possible situation with a sharp tug at the end of a trend and a very sharp reversal of the trend. There need a safety net in the intraday trend, for example 2:00 graph, for a very quick closing position to avoid a big disadvantage in the transaction – https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/707.

Conclusions: The main difficulties begin at the end of a trend, or at the transition when changing the direction of the trend. And here it is best to play it safe and not take any action on the opening of a new transaction, and wait for complete clarity in the analysis.

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Grid Inside

The Grid Inside

The Grid Inside works in counter-trending mode, automatically opens a new order when the target price on the Fibonacci 23.6 and 73.6 levels.

If the price goes in the wrong direction, it opens another warrant with a calculated size of the lot and the price.

All positions are closed when the target profit, indicated in the parameters.

Because TGI does not use stop loss, it is not recommended to install it on an account with a sum of more than you can afford to lose.

You can restrict the margin for closing the orders when the specified target level of margin.

I recommend to use the virtual server (VPS), and the parameter H1 timeframe pipStep, equal to 40 or higher. The recommended initial deposit – 1200 USD or higher with a minimum item 0.01.

The adviser works on any currency with low spread, the maximum – about 15.

Input parameters

  • useMM – use money management, the initial lot size multiplied in accordance with the amount in the account.
  • fixedLot – the fixed value of the lot.
  • moneyTarget – the number of points at which all transactions will be closed, works as a virtual take-profit.
  • depositLoad – used for capital management, the value for each original lot (for example: 2000 -> original lot is 0.01, at 4000 -> original lot is 0.02).
  • maxMarginLimit – limiting margin using moneyTarget, if trading is becoming too risky, all transactions are closed on marginTarget.
  • marginTarget – similarly moneyTarget, the transaction closed when this value is reached.
  • cciPeriod – the number of bars for the calculation of the CCI.
  • cciPrevious – last bar for comparison to the current value of the CCI.
  • cciHighLowLevel – highs and lows, accounted indicator CCI.
  • displayInfo – enable the display of information.
  • buyAndSell – allow the simultaneous use of orders for sale and purchase.
  • lotFactor – lot multiplier for further orders.
  • pipStep – minimum distance to move the new target level.
  • pipStepExpo – minimum distance factor for a new target price.
  • targetThreshold – the minimum distance above or below the last price.
  • minChannelHeight – the minimum distance for the maximum and minimum price levels for the start of trading.
  • maxChannelHeight – the maximum distance for the maximum and minimum price levels for the opening of a new deal.
  • channelBars – the number of bars needed to calculate the maximum and minimum prices of candles.
  • uniqueSymbol – Simultaneous operation of only one symbol, when false to limit the simultaneous operation with other couples is removed.
  • initHour – hour pre-trade (GMT).
  • endHour – hour of trading end (GMT).
  • Monday – allow to trade on Mondays.
  • Tuesday – allow trade on Tuesday.
  • Wednesday – allow trade on Wednesday.
  • Thursday – allow trade on Thursday.
  • Friday – allow to trade on Fridays.

Grid Inside

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Fractalist

Fractalist

Skalpingovy automatic advisor Fractalist uses the pending orders with predetermined levels stop-loss and take profit installed at selected using fractals filters.

For best results it is recommended to use the ECN account with narrow spreads and fast execution of orders, fast VPS, and rebate service.

Features:

  • simple setup
  • for all currency pairs
  • from the expansion of the spread protection
  • virtual stop-loss and take-profit
  • Trailing Stop
  • split system – closing profitable parts orders
  • money management system with full control of the risks
  • minimum drawdown
  • do not use high-risk strategies such as martingale, grid, hedging, etc.

Input parameters

  • MagicId – a unique number adviser;
  • RangePeriodtimeframe for finding fractals;
  • RangeMinSize – the minimum allowable distance for installation orders between the opposite fractals;
  • ColdStart – immediate installation (true) pending orders at the start or restart the adviser; waiting time of opening orders (false);
  • HS, MS – the time (hours and minutes) placing pending orders;
  • HE, ME – the time (hours and minutes) remove deposits or closing of open orders;
  • MaxLot – maximum lotnost one order;
  • MaxSpread – maximum spread value for setting the order;
  • SpreadChecking – when the (true) is checked spread on each tick. In case of exceeding values MaxSpread orders are deleted, while reducing the spread to acceptable values ​​- set anew;
  • Virtual – when the (true) level stop loss and take profit is not physically installed, and controlled by an adviser;
  • LotType – Mode lotnosti orders:
    • LotManual – lotnost corresponds to a value of each order MainLot;
    • LotRisk – lotnost each order is calculated on the basis of the level of risk FactorRisk;
    • LotAuto – lotnost multiply each order is changed based on the ratio of funds account size and FactorAuto.
  • MainLot – lotnost one order (effective mode LotManual);
  • FactorRisk – the maximum allowable loss for each order as a% of AccountEquity (acts as mode LotRisk);
  • FactorAuto – the amount of funds AccountEquity account for each value MainLot ((Effective mode and LotAuto);
  • Takeprofit – Take-Profit, Pip;
  • Stoploss – stop-loss, pip;
  • Trailing – switch (true) or off (false) mode trailing stop;
  • TrailStart – number of pips from the opening price the order in which the switched trailing stop mode;
  • TrailStop – the maximum number of pips from the price to the stop-loss at a trailing stop mode;
  • Split – switch (true) or off (false) split mode – a partial closing of the order of $ SplitLot every SplitStep pips;
  • SplitStart – number of pips from the opening price the order in which the split mode is activated;
  • SplitStep – step mode split;
  • SplitLot – % Of the remaining volume of the order of obstruction at each step;
  • ShiftUp – offset price setting orders relative to the upper boundary of the corridor (>0 – above the limit, <0 – below the limit), pip;
  • ShiftDn – offset price setting orders relative to the lower limit of the corridor (>0 – below the limit, <0 – above the boundary) pip;
  • ShowInfo – the inclusion of (true) or off (false) information panel (recommended to turn off during testing and optimization);
  • InfoFontColor, InfoFontSize – color and size of the dashboard text.

The default is set for GBPUSD H1.

All products https://www.mql5.com/ru/users/quattordici/seller

Fractalist

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Trendoscope expert 4

Trendoscope expert 4

Employment expert Trendoscope expert 4 based on the signals of a custom indicator Trendoscope 4.

entry points are defined by the values ​​Trendoscope 4 indicators.
Closing a position occurs when the profit target levels, and
loss.

Input parameters

  • Period – input parameter Period Trendoscope 4 indicator;
  • Mode – Expert mode (0-5);
  • Stop Loss – loss level in the fixing points;
  • Take Profit – level of profit in points;
  • Fixed Lot – Lot fixed value;
  • Variable Lot – AC Lot as a percentage of free margin.

The screenshots shows the results of backtesting.
Testing was conducted with EURUSD and timeframe in M30
mode, the “Every tick” for the period from 01.07.2013 on 12.28.2013. used
fixed item 0.1, stop loss of 500 points, take profit equal
350 points, a value equal to Period 12, the operation mode 3, the spread 20.

Trendoscope expert 4

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Neuron Learning

Neuron Learning

Neuron Learning – multi-adviser.

Advisor uses to trade high-risk trading strategies like the Martingale. It works with take-profit and Elman neural network. Stop-loss is not used.

It may work on other major pairs.

Advisor is based on a 39 input, 10 hidden and 2 output nodes of the neural network, as well as the sigmoid function of automatic learning in real life. Trade is almost every candle. Neuron Learning studies on the history of candle and predicts the next candle.

Particular attention should be paid to the output node. It uses a single layer of the neural network and is more effective if there is confirmation of a trend change, and that the price will not return to its previous value.

input node

attributes:

  1. High – Open
  2. Open – Low
  3. ATR (3)
  4. Stdev (3)
  5. RSI (3)
  6. WPR (3)
  7. Stochastic (5,3,3) Mode_Main
  8. Stochastic (5,3,3) Mode_Signal
  9. AD
  10. ADX (3) Mode Main
  11. ADX (3) Mode PLUSDI
  12. ADX (3) Mode MINUSDI
  13. MFI (3)

recommendations

  • Minimum shoulder – 1: 500.
  • The minimum initial deposit – only $ 1000.
  • Use the M1 or M5 timeframe.

Options

  • training: Enables the robot learning mode.
  • load_neuron: Download Results robot training.
  • transaction: Allow discovery transactions.
  • reset: restore the default result of training, working with load_neuron: true.
  • max_loop: Robot depth training.
  • lot: the number of lots.
  • TakeProfit: The level of take-profit.
  • MaxSpread: Maximum spread, in which trade is allowed.
  • Slippage: Allowable slippage for opening orders.
  • max_order: The maximum number of orders.
  • Min_Margin_level: minimum margin level on the account as a percentage, when you reach this level of the transaction will not take place.

Neuron Learning

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