In Ukraine lull Europe moved to increase

In Ukraine, a lull. Europe moved to increase

European
stock markets rose after
stocks have shown maximum growth
month. This happened against the backdrop of the fact that
Ukrainian and Russian officials
We met for talks: Pavlo
Klimkin and Sergei Lavrov spoke
in Berlin. The aim of the talks was
indicated by the easing of tensions
between the two countries. Although
Brezhnev kissing between politicians
It has not been fixed, the Minister of Foreign
Minister of Germany Frank-Walter Shtaynmeyer
assured that there had been some
success. Lavrov, however, grimly noted,
that no resolution has not been signed
It was.

“Everytime,
when you see a de-escalation
geopolitical risk – it is always
works in favor of the markets “, – stated in the
interview
Bloomberg
Steen
Jacobsen, Director of Investment Bank
Saxo
A / S (Copenhagen).
– “Short-term movements of the stock
the market is now almost entirely controlled
news on the situation in Ukraine / Russia.
Now we are seeing a temporary relief. ”

American
index futures rose, Asian
stock markets showed no significant
changes.

among individual
Companies increased United
Internet AG (+ 4% on the information
to buy 10.7% stake in Rocket
Internet AG). On
3% “fatter”
Renault SA, does not concern
to a lesser extent due to the fact that
among the 19 industry groups index
Stoxx Europe 600
Automotive lead. Bank
sector shows optimism so
Commerzbank AG added
1.4%. Technological area, too, in order:
It added 1.1% Deutsche Telekom AG,
and even stated that
that she was going to buy a large
cable providers.

Small
stock commotion happened even
tranquil Scandinavia: Tobacco Company
Assens A / S stated
that he was thinking about the IPO, on
background that Swedish Match AB
(Owner of 49% per cent
Assens) earned
1.5% increase to the share price.

In general Stoxx
0.9% 600 up to the middle of the day. Today
growth showed all industries represented
in the index. Futures on the index of S P
500 added 0.4%, but the
Asia-Pacific MSCI
headway, gaining
less than 0.1%.

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Brent

Brent

So, my first post will be about oil. As you can see – this friend is hanging out in a big flag of many months. And approximately in the region of 1330- 1300, I plan to buy it, the order is worth a stop while in the 50 n, the expected growth of 500 and above, I would like to take 1,000 points if the nerves will stand, a hundred points will translate into b / y.

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What’s going on in currency market

What’s going on in the currency market

Today Euro
got a clear driver to increase – for
due to strong business performance
activity in France and Germany. But
the market is in no hurry to buy in large quantities
single currency: German figure was
still lower than last month. And
Eurozone business activity
becomes lower, indicating that
a slowdown of the European economy.
The result of all these events – EUR / USD
It is trading at around 1.3260. Support
– at the levels of 1.3220 and 1.3100. Resistance
– at 1.3330 and 1.3400.

Yen remains
under the iron heel of consolidating
dollar. In addition, the forecast GDP growth
Japan this past day has been lowered more
than doubled. This is further made
yen fall. Today, USD / JPY
It is trading at 103.70. Resistance
It remains at 104.10, support – in the area
102,00.

British pound
It shows a rather agonistic
behavior. On the one hand, retail
sales in the country have shown not the most
good statistics: they rose by only
0.1 m / m, although the predicted 0.4 m / m.
This triggered a wave of sales
“British.” However, growing the economy
rate of increase in the number of working
Places, household incomes are growing that
It allows us to hope for a quick
recovery of the British currency.
GBP / USD remains at
1.6580. Support – at 1.6560, resistance
– at 1.6740.

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Options

options

Hello!

to * Mo * start of sobstv.sisteme options test) at the end of month. Share results …

* If successful-start on a real MT4 with poss th copy for investors

** Here is what the system = on October 1. = 14%

Options

Revenue growth in Ste. At times, in comparison with August. –NO– was large drawdowns -ok.40%, therefore, optimizes the system further

* Here is what the system = 2 weeks + 2% =Options

should be optimized, with the subsidence – early on Real – / trace-e results of test at the end of September.

With you, Victor

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Its index of German economic sentiment rose sudd

Its index of German economic sentiment rose suddenly

Index
“The index of economic sentiment
Germany “unexpectedly significantly
above forecast. when we predict
value of 4.8 points, he was on the
level 6.9. This is good news – because
they mean that the business environment
“Locomotive” of the euro zone, even though
the difficult situation in the European
economy is still willing to work and
develop.

On
Against this background, one can expect temporary
strengthening of the euro and some growth check
European indices. However, all this
may be hampered by the fact that
investors await the Fed meeting and the information
on it.

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British pound rose as Bank of England head hinted

The British pound rose as the Bank of England head hinted at a rate hike

Managing the Bank of England Mark Karni said Wednesday that the rise in interest rates in the UK in the next few months may be more appropriate if the economy continues to gain momentum despite the weak performance of consumer spending. After his words the British pound rose 1% against the US dollar.
During his speech at the forum of the European Central Bank in Portugal Carney said that in the case of accelerating the growth of wages and investment companies, he will think over whether to keep the Bank of England’s key rate at a record low of 0.25%. Earlier this month, Carney advocated the preservation of the previous monetary policy, since, in his words, the regulator had to balance between accelerating inflation and slowing economic growth in the UK.
Shortly after Carney’s comments British pound rose 1.1%, to 1.2954 US dollar, reaching its highest level in three weeks. The yield on 10-year UK bonds jumped to 1.181%, the highest since the beginning of May, against 1.078% at the close on Tuesday.
"Partial rejection of the stimulus measures are likely to be necessary, as the Bank of England will no longer have to make compromises, and the decision-making process will go to normal", – he said.
Comments Carney suggests that the Bank of England yet close to raising rates after reducing them after last year’s referendum on membership in the UK ES.Istochnik: “News Feed”

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Asian markets did not show uniform dynamics

Asian markets did not show uniform dynamics

Today on
Asian trading was demonstrated
mixed. Following the publication of
Information about the growth of China’s GDP (the
unconvincing in the last five years)
Asian exchanges behaved
differently. Affected and local
causes.

For example, in Hong Kong
Tuesday night will be a meeting
student protesters with representatives
administration. Against this background, Hang
Seng added 0.1%.

Composite index
the region fell by 0.5%, but on the eve of
MSCI Asia Pacific added 2.2%
(This was the biggest rise since
September 2012.

Nikkei down
on 2%; Kospi lost 0.8%;
Shanghai Composite – 0,7%. Australian
S P / ASX added 0.1%, along
as already mentioned, Hang Seng.

Concerning
individual companies, for example, the Toyota
Motors Corp. It showed 1.6% bonus
fall (on the background growth of the yen against
majors). The same reason
1.5% and taken away from Sony Corp.

China
Mobile lost on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
1.8%: it announced a profit reduction
Now for the past five quarters
contract.

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Gold rises but it seems short time

Gold rises, but it seems a short time

gold rose
to the highest level in the past
six weeks. Bullion for immediate delivery
increased 0.3% to 1250.35 per ounce
(Up to September 10), and by the middle
trading session in Asian trading on
1249.39 dollars. December futures for
gold increased by 0.5% to 1250.70 at Comex.
For the second day in a row gold
rose, while Asian
markets fell.

Last week
first July yellow metal showed
growth for the whole week: Dollar
falls, the markets too, reeling, and therefore
Investors flee to “safe” assets,
which it is nothing else than the old
good gold. However, this situation is not
It promises to drag on for a long time.

“While
as there is no information about when
the Fed will raise rates, investors are
still continue to expect that the October
meeting of the American regulator
will lead to the end of QE, both
and planned in advance. Wherein
US economic statistics continue
demonstrate the strengthening of the economy,
Europe and at the same time taking
unprecedented steps to mitigate
monetary policy. It’s all bound
will strengthen the dollar against the euro and, therefore,
the long-term downtrend
gold will continue in the future. ” it
point of views Runyu Zhu, analyst
CITICS Futures Com (China).

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In Europe gloom reigns

In Europe gloom reigns

AT
Among the European markets continue to
fall: IMF reduced term
global growth market. Special
dreary forecasts drawn to
Europe.

On
17.04 MSK, towards the end of day trading,
Stoxx
Europe 600 (strongly
injured yesterday after poor
German statistics) has already managed to fall
0.66. Weakened and DAX
(-0.74%)
and CAC
40 (-0.65%)
and FTSE
(-0.29%).

Let me remind you,
Tuesday, the IMF presented its forecast
on the prospects of global economic
growth, and he was again negative (with
down for the third time this
year). Permanent weakness in the euro zone
Recently, it increased the risk of the beginning
deep recession and deflation three
Europe’s largest economies
– Germany, France and Italy. Probability
recession has doubled over the last six
months and is now running at 38%.

Charles
Steiner, a strategic consultant
SEB,
frankly
commented: “The report as a whole
It inspires a certain share in despair
regarding the fate of the world economy. ”
Other strategies, Geri Dzhenkins of LNG
Capital, he said,
what could be the agenda of the IMF consisted
to still convince the ECB
refer to the program of direct
quantitative easing. “When
European policy makers are looking at growth
and the number of employment in the United States and
UK, they are likely to set
matter how much the euro zone does not apply
the same treatment of QE,
through
who cured the Anglo-Saxons. ”

It seems
everything plays against Europe: its internal
plagues added Ebola,
which is a serious blow to the tourism,
recreational sector of course, and,
airlines. Holding IAG
(master
British
Airways and Iberia),
EasyJet, Air France, TUI, Intercontinental Hotels Group –
they all fell between 1.8 and 3.6%. Fever
and crippled French industry
Bollore group,
which
It has significant investments in the African
industry: the stock lost 6.7%.

Air
France fell
also because of the strike of pilots,
whose strike in one easy motion
hand wiped the board with revenues 20% annual
underlying profits of the company.

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Ruble loose free swimming or free fall

Ruble loose: free swimming or free fall?

Today, the central
Bank of Russia raised even higher official
US dollar against the ruble
at 25.91 kopecks. – up to 42.6525 rubles. The euro exchange rate against the ruble
were higher by 47 kopecks. – 54.3393 rubles ..

I remember that the central bank
next year would like to release
Ruble in the “free swimming” … All
more convinced that critical
levels of the ruble has long been jumped, and
Now he is no longer in “free
swimming “, and in” free fall. ”
National Russian currency is not
I was able to stay afloat because of the
sanctions ruble immediately went to the bottom.

When the oil is consolidated
near 84,11-87,80 ruble easily
“Rushed” through resistance
42.80. And now the only Russian bank –
the only seller in the forex
market, which is trying to meet
the demand for dollars and euros.

Over the past one and a half
Week in Russian society grows
severe strain due to a sharp
Growth in foreign exchange rates.
The continuing decline of the ruble could
provoke strong capital outflows
with bank deposits, and that’s when
start a real panic. And the central bank
stop it no longer can. exit only
one of either the Central Bank is changing the rules of the game, or
we wait until the dollar at 46-47 rubles
already this year.

Ruble loose free swimming or free fall

cartoon image of available sources

Recall dollar
He reached the mark of 43.20 immediately after the meeting
FOMC, and the dollar itself closed in a good plus
– Major currencies fell against the dollar
by about 150 points.

The outcome of the meeting was
on completion of the program a message
quantitative easing and the preservation of
key interest rates unchanged
level (0% – 0.25%). purchases of government bonds
They plan to finish on 31 October.

Now the pair USD / RUB
trading at
43.438, and the pair EUR / RUB
at the level of 54.674.

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