End of QE will result in policy for dollar

The end of QE will result in policy for the dollar?

As expected,
US central bank last week
He confirmed the end of their program
QE (QE). approached
by the end of the six-year method
infusion of money into the economy
through large-scale asset purchases.

While it is
It is still difficult to determine the effect of
Of QE, it looks like it worked,
as expected. "Easy Money"
spawned
more resilient
economic recovery
US and
employment is growing strongly.
Low US interest rates mean
that most
part of the extra money found
its way into other
assets –
such as
housing and stocks.

But as the lead
the dollar itself now?

While,
when the dollar
It fell sharply, the Federal Reserve
expanded system
aggressive QE
In 2009, a pair of sterling / dollar
trading at
the level of 1.50-1.65.
a weakening dollar
(Above $ 1.65) were
the beginning of 2011 and at the beginning of this year,
which coincided
to the time when recovery
economy loses momentum,
in spite of the huge sums of injections.
Other factors, too,
could influence the behavior of currencies.
The fall of the dollar at the end of
2013 took place against the backdrop of a partial
government detachment
After the congress, where
failed to agree a deal for
increasing public
expenses.

The Bank also
I did not conduct the program
QE England (in 2009 and then
Again in October 2011,
July 2012), that
It coincides with the fundamental period
the weakness of sterling. Lb
It fell below $ 1.50 after the general elections in
May
2010 where
to form a government.
And the pair fell back
in early 2013, when the UK
It lost its top AAA credit rating.
Nothing like this before
It happened
in the UK since 1970.

What we can
extract useful
from this? A strong economy and the end of QE –
positive
tendency to
dollar, but the litmus test will be
Information later –
whether the recovery will last
in the long term without extra
intervention? sustainable recovery
can reinforce expectations that interest
US interest rates will rise faster and
faster than previously thought, that
Again, potentially
involve all
more dollars back.

recovery
the dollar
6% against sterling from June
reflects some hope that it
happen, as well as the risk
weakening UK.
However, as in the UK,
none
confident that US interest rates
will grow in the near future – in
?? particular in connection with the global
changes. weak growth
in the euro area and emerging markets –
as the headwinds,
that interfere
American
export.
Mitigation of global demand and the recent
a sharp decline in oil prices could
prompt the Fed that it is necessary
postpone raising interest rates if the
they slow down inflation. Meanwhile,
the political situation can still
more
complicate any forecast.

Related posts

Next posts

  • Why rich are rich They invest not how all
  • III quarter ended badly for Coca Cola’s and MsDo
  • Screencast Maks Kayzer Corporate power Yeti and

US market will fall by 30% Expert forecast

The US market will fall by 30% – Expert forecast

expert publications
MarketWatch Mark Kuk argues that inevitable
"bearish" the trend in the US
the stock market. The market is waiting for the fall in
thirty%. But if the US market is ready for
this fall?

Mark Kuk in the summer
predicted correction at 20%, but now
it indicates a very strong
a fall. By the way, at that time, Mark is really
I was only partially right – the market index
It fell by only 10%, and a standard
Correction for the US market. But
Mark Kuk is still confident in his
forecasts and even cites evidence.

Meanwhile, indices
The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite lost more than 10%, and
Dow Jones and S P 500 soon to be joined
– Historically, the index falls later.

Recall, Mark Kuk
forecasts of their places on the basis of their own
indicator, which does not just let us return
sell signals.

Mark Kuk convinces
readers that "bearish" market
It has already started and the fall of 30% is very possible.
Listen to the experts
this version, because the summer
market decline Mark Kuk guessed a few
days in advance. But there is, of course,
Cook forecasts and shortcomings, besides
hard to believe in the probability of such
strong fall, whereas now market
in an upward motion. Now drop
it is also possible, but only after a very
high levels. At least, so
still it happened: the market went
in growth, reaching new highs, then
– correction, the panic in the media, the unexpected
turn and rise again to new heights.

Related posts

Next posts

  • Major oil companies are cutting production
  • End of QE will result in policy for dollar
  • Why rich are rich They invest not how all

Figure of day what employers are willing to pay

Figure of the day: what employers are willing to pay a salary to graduates?

The maximum salary that Russian employers are willing to pay graduates, is 39 400 rubles., Follows from the research personnel Unity Agency. At such remuneration can expect engineers. The lowest salary of employers willing to offer lawyers without experience.

Unity Recruitment Agency to analyze the situation with vacancies for young professionals without experience. It was found that in the market there is an imbalance between the employers’ proposals and requests graduates.
Particularly large gap between expectations and reality is observed in the sectors where the amount exceeds the number of vacancies resume.

Thus, the average expected salary of young lawyers is 33 400 rubles., Whereas employers are willing to pay a total of 25 600 rubles. In this case, for one vacancy falls 2.6 CV.

In the field of media, where CV is 1.5 times more than the vacancies, the candidates requests modest. Expected salary is 36 300 rubles, employers offer -. 31 400 rubles.

The demand for graduates of financial majors too low – for each vacancy for about 2.5 CV. Nevertheless, their expectations are high. At the suggestion of 35 800 rubles. the average level of requests for 2000 rubles. more. However, applicants requests exceed 45% average border, the maximum (usually voiced their youth) reach up to 100 000 rubles.

Maximum salary Russian companies are ready to pay the engineers – 39 400 rubles. Themselves Applicants are willing to accept 38 200 rubles. Although this group also meet applicants hoping for 100 000 rubles. Applicants whose requests are much different from the average, only 13%. In this case, one of the employer has to offer just 1.2 CV.

Excessive demands of young people leads to the fact that employers refuse from the idea of ​​hiring a “cheap”, and newbies opt for a more experienced expert, says the head of department on work with clients Recruitment Unity Olga Goryunov.

Excessive expectations of graduates due to the peculiarities generation «Y», which is now actively entering the market. Ambitious «Y» are ready to defend their expectations. Even those who are now agreed on the modest amounts, are hoping that a year from their earnings will rise seriously.

However, according to Careere.ru study, only 20-30% increases in most companies, the salary of new employees in the first year of operation. And only in the new sectors (management and economics, IT and telecommunications) have the enterprise, where the growth in certain specialties may be 60%, 70%, 80%, 100%

Related posts

Next posts

  • European banks are unhappy with Mario Draghi
  • US market will fall by 30% Expert forecast
  • Major oil companies are cutting production

American premarket everything grows thanks Alibaba

American premarket: everything grows, thanks, Alibaba!

Today futures
on US stocks are growing steadily
up: investors are eager to see,
Will the record rally on Wall Street.
The focus of market participants –
Of course, Alibaba, which
yesterday one hour earned more than 2 billion
dollars.

Futures on the DJIA
increased by 0.13% and S P 500
– gained 0.17%; and the Nasdaq itself
God told him to grow and grow, the result – + 0.21%.

volatility index
at the same time it fell to its very low
level in 7 weeks.

on the volumes
today’s trading on Wall Street, which
start now one and a half hours,
may adversely affect the fact that
America celebrated Veterans Day. AT
While the stock market is
a typical day, the bond markets and
government agencies will
are closed, which means that new data
Investors will not come as much
the same as in ordinary days.

interest in
Investors will also cause the situation
the dollar: it is now updated seven years
high against the yen and it seems that
not going to stop.

futures
Alibaba shares have already risen by
4.01% – even after the actions have already
earn $ 2 billion last all
only an hour.

shares of Juniper
Networks have all chances to fall: on
premarket before the opening of trading they
already lost 1.87%. The fact that the company
now there is a change of leadership
under strange circumstances.

Famous
manufacturer of mobile cameras,
blew up the market in the summer, GoPro,
It shows its overvaluation and
today premarket has lost 4.19%
(Announcing the offer of secondary
shares for $ 800 million).

traded in
US shares of British Telecommunications
Giant Vodafone PLC added
as much as 6.09% before the start of trading, after
the company reported a serious
growth at the expense of key European
markets.

Related posts

Next posts

  • Reports on inflation in US dollar is shaken
  • Figure of day what employers are willing to pay
  • European banks are unhappy with Mario Draghi

Asian markets closed Tuesday mostly positive

Asian markets closed Tuesday mostly positive

Bargaining
in the Asia-Pacific region on Tuesday ended
mixed. The composite index MSCI
Asia Pacific grew by 0.2%. Nikkei
225 added 2,1%, Hang Seng increased
to 0,3%, KOSPI strengthened by 0.2%.
Australian index S P / ASX gone
in the negative, and then only in very minor
– at 0,1%, Shanghai Composite lost
0.2% in the quarterly reports of failed
some companies.

Growth
Japanese stock market was fairly
spur yen weakening and
makrostatistikoy (surplus
the current account). Another important incentive
– Shinzo Abe is likely to postpone
increase in the consumption tax, plus
moreover in this regard may be declared
early parliamentary elections.

Among
individual companies worth mentioning
Korean cosmetics company Amorepacific
Corp, which demonstrated
strong quarterly reports and
It added just 8.9%. The Japanese manufacturer
Yakult Honsha Co drinks added
5.6%. Traditionally grown in the fall of the yen
and Japanese exporters (Sony
Corp + 0,4%, Toyota Motor Corp + 1,5%).

Related posts

Next posts

  • Putin promises to sell more oil in yuan and rubles
  • American premarket everything grows thanks Alibaba
  • Reports on inflation in US dollar is shaken

Gold marking near $ 1 193

Gold marking near $ 1,193

yesterday’s
Trading on the American stock market
closed in positive territory today in Asian
auction calm and moderate growth.

futures
Gold for December delivery was strengthened
at levels above $ 1,190. If speculators
activated, the sale of gold will
spending by $ 1.200-1.220. Most likely, if
price above $ 1,220 will grow to $ 1.300-1.400.

Today
Gold is trading at $ 1.194,60
ounce growth is 0.30%. support
see at a price of $ 1.173,90,
and resistance – to $ 1.204,10.

Related posts

Next posts

  • Tended layout
  • Moscow Hide and Seek US companies are breaking
  • Most anticipated event publication of FOMC meeting

Save Europe countdown begins

Save Europe: the countdown begins

analysts
warned that the beginning of the reverse
countdown to the moment when the rescue economy
Europe will be too late. themselves
begs medical analogy
resuscitation activities.

18
– December 19 EU leaders meet
under the new chairmanship. They have
a chance to launch a joint assault on
economic stagnation and high
the unemployment rate, which threaten
Holistic education: voters
They have protested against the very
EU’s existence. However,
signs point to the fact that this
last “storm” may be crowned
failure.

Anamnesis

18
Eurozone countries are straining all their forces,
to withdraw from the consequences of their
debt crisis has aggravated
and the results of disagreements with Russia
on the Ukrainian question. inflation
the region is at a level much
below 1%, and the average unemployment rate in the jammed
11.5% (in Spain and Greece, this level
up more than half). even locomotive
European Union – Germany – almost stopped.

Former
US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers
describes a condition in which
Europe runs the risk of slipping, as the long-term
stagnation. This is a long-term,
self-sustaining, a strong decline,
like the one that accompanied
The Great Depression of the 1930s.

See
themselves. France’s economy – flat line
cardiogram. Italy and all retreated
in the recession zone. In this case, none of these
the two countries do not reduce their deficit
budget and public debt to acceptable EU
levels. This causes tension
relations with Rome and Paris and Brussels
Berlin.

The president
The EU, which is now retiring –
Herman Van Rompuy – last week
He said in his speech: “Without jobs
economic growth and the very idea of ​​a single
Europe is in great danger. ”
Prior to his successor, Donald Pole
Tusk, will face a serious challenge:
First you need to accept the agreement on a new economic course
politicians.

Mario Draghi: "Work must not only the ECB!"

Save Europe countdown begins

The president
ECB Mario Dragi in August, while
meeting of heads of the world’s regulators
Jackson Hole, outlined the thesis that
It could become the new European course.
He called for greater rigor
the formation of national budgets.
He also recommended a
structural economic reforms,
promoting the growth and shape
large public investments
EU members. Mr. Draghi
quite logically observes that the problems
Eurozone economy should not place
only on the shoulders of the European regulator,
and each country has its part
responsible for general discord.

AT
his speech on Friday, November 21,
he continued to outline the scale
Problems. Draghi painted a pretty
bleak prospects and promised
“As soon as possible” to respond to the
new inflation fall.

All
Also, many experts believe that
“SuperMario” does a good face on
bad game. The opposition within the board
The ECB, led by the Bundesbank leader
Jens Weidmann, prevents Draghi go
for bolder measures: thus, for example,
the introduction of QE (buying
government bonds).

“AT
than most Draghi needs now
– so it is in a high-profile agreements on
summit. They must be, first, on the
the question of investment, and secondly –
about coordinated economic
reforms and significant financial demands.
This will give him the political foundation at
feet, after which he will be able to move
to the beginning of the program of quantitative
liberation “, – he said in an interview
one agency Reuter
senior EU officials. – “But
there is a great risk that the summit
EU leaders to anything not come, and the situation
It will be even worse. ”

internal
restrictions divergent basic
economic situation and the mutual
mistrust – all these factors have a huge
likely to make the summit results
disappointing. France and Italy –
second and third euro zone economy –
now have a big problem, and,
Example Merkel convinced that
they fail in their economic
reforms. Problems more than enough,
but many hope that the leaders
EU still remember warning
Mario Draghi in his speech in Jackson Hole:
“No financial arrangements,
no amount of money can not be a compensation
necessary structural reforms
the euro area. ”

Related posts

Next posts

  • Axiom technical analysis
  • Gold marking near $ 1 193
  • Tended layout

Emerging markets meet new 1998

Emerging markets meet the new 1998

developing
markets end the year in a free
fall. From Russia to Venezuela,
Thailand to Brazil collapsing shares,
bonds and currencies. Russian ruble
quickly ran down, breaking
threshold of 64 dollars and 82 euros. National
regulator night inflated interest
rate by 6.5 points at once. Venezuelan
national bonds fell in price
less than 40 cents, but the stock of Thailand index
yesterday showed the most dynamic drop
for 11 months. corporate debt
Brazilian market threatened collapse due
State oil supplier,
Petroleo Brasiliero SA.

All this causes
very familiar feeling: something
already in 1998, when oil fell,
and raw materials exporters – Russia and Venezuela
– slipped into a financial crisis.

Since then,
emerging markets, much has changed:
countries have accumulated large foreign
reserves and work more flexible exchange
courses. However, signs of infection
apply. Last week
investors pulled more than 2.5 billion dollars
American stock exchange index
Funds, which work with the shares and
emerging market bonds. it
the largest outflow since January, when
Financial investors and scared
political instability in various
countries from Argentina to Turkey.

“We have moved in
Elimination mode, “- Peter says
Lennigan, an analyst at Emerging Markets
at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford.
– “We are at a point where people get rid and
from winners and losers from the market “.

Index,
tracking 20 emerging currencies
markets fell today to more than
a ten-year minimum. he undermined
falling oil prices and slowed
growth in China. The Turkish lira has updated
historical lows, Indonesian
Rupee fell to the lowest level
that same 1998.

index of emerging
MSCI markets fell today
for the seventh consecutive day. The depth of the fall
It has already reached 8%, but the volatility index
these same markets jumped to the
High-October level. Index
Russian shares, RTS, plummeted yesterday
10% – is the maximum since the annexation
Crimea.

In Venezuela, there are
All indications are that the collapse in oil prices,
strongly supported and blown
OPEC, will lead to a national default.
It is possible that the country will not be able
fulfill its obligations under
dollar bonds.

In the next
Brazilian oil producer Petrobras,
the largest international borrower
in developing countries over the past
five years, has reduced the price of its shares up
a record level. It happened after
the company delayed release
its financial results for the third
quarter – for the third time. is
investigation an unprecedented level
Money Laundering through the company, Brazil
It is under the yoke of corruption
scandal that has spread
virtually every major firm in
which has a joint business with Petrobras.

investors in
emerging markets still lose
more, if the oil price will go
down further and the Fed clearly point to the fact
that the American regulator rate
grow up sooner than expected.

“Many
the number of investment strategies
was based on the fact that the interest
the rate will remain low for a long
time, and the high price of oil, “- says
Maykl Rosh, strategist Seaport Group
LLC. – “It is a matter of concern.”

Related posts

Next posts

  • Fewer people are satisfied with US stocks Maybe
  • Wall Street indexes again updated records
  • Save Europe countdown begins

Belgium paralyzed social protests

Belgium paralyzed social protests

One of the most
calm European paralyzed
nationwide strike. Unions
Belgium recommended to fellow citizens sit
at home or join the public
shares. In all regions of the country are blocked
strike or civil service (education institutions,
health centers, administrative
service, public services). paralyzed
transport operations – did not come to Pilot
buses, trams, metro, do not ride the train
across the country (including Belgian
segments international rail
lines), completely blocked air
space of the country. Canceled all flights
to / from Brussels and Charleroi.

The reason for the protest
– austerity that
introduced in the country by the new government.
It is planned to cut back on a number of social
benefits by reducing grants. increase
retirement age and total growth
prices for all – also the subject of the perturbation union leaders. Also strikers demand
increase on large capital tax.

Related posts

Next posts

  • Euro go ahead German unemployment at record low
  • Completely renovated in MetaTrader 5 for Android
  • Emerging markets meet new 1998

Positive motivation in trading

Positive motivation in trading

Let’s start with what appeared young trader!

The most common way a novice trader
Advertising: «On FOREXe some millionaires, and lacks only you
!!! “Well, who would refuse from such
zavlekushki? Naturally all run
take their turn to how to join this elite group as soon as possible not very poorest members
society … More: Express training for a couple of weeks
any courses, view multiple video clips and reading diagonally two
books: and both of the psychology of trading, such as Alexander Elder "How to play and win at the stock exchange", And of possible (but not required) that represents the FOREX and for what it is.

Next has been going on is not so much fun as a novice:
necessary to examine the trading platform to its core capabilities and open
a demo account to test the volume of acquired knowledge, and, of course, your intuition, which is constantly whispering:
“Open position – a 100% gain!”

After a while, there is a feeling that here it is – the beginning of a new
life, and it remained one small thing – to open a real account and find the bag more
(Instead of the purse) …

I think many people remember the pleasant moments of their
life … But all good things come to an end has a property
and begins polosochka
a different color, which is why it continues for too long …

It was at that moment my eye caught the other books where the “detail” signs that FOREX – is a scam, and that only 5% of the
100% earn in this market and exclusively at the expense of your made
funds.

Rosy picture begins to change color in the gray tones
different colors, and there is not surmountable feeling that you “threw at
grandmother “… and I want to forget this for faster
period of life, like a bad dream.

Here are just now need the right
built positive motivation, that young trader did not give up their new
profession.

let’s
try to identify the topics that would be supported by the trader in his desire
continue to engage in trading:

  1. slender
    logical Scheme design a trading strategy to make a profit on
    market (combating negative material on FOREX).
  2. examples
    successful trading
    market – targets for growth.
  3. examples
    breakeven trade on FOREX
    Proving the fallacy of reasoning generally accepted on this subject (
    opening new prospects for improving skills).
  4. long-term objectives in trading, for which it is desirable to pay attention.
  5. ….

You can try to continue this list, and for each item
offer information to motivate the trader in his future work.

P.S. One possible motivation options trader:

according to claim 1 – http://fxmail.ru/subscribes/subscribe/?subscribe_id=3714
.

according to claim 2 – Signal Analysis
(https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals
)

according to claim 3 – https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/151
https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/439

according to claim 4 – https://www.mql5.com/ru/blogs/post/1314

Related posts

  • Bill Williams Trading Strategy

    Bill Williams Trading Strategy Bill .Vilyamsa trading strategy allows absolutely clear, give mathematical precision signals to enter the market, signals…

  • Classic trading rules

    Classic trading rules Classic trading rules 1. Plan your trades. Trade your plan. 2. Record your results. 3. Keep a positive attitude regardless of your…

  • Overnight trading

    Overnight trading (night Forex trading). Trading on the stock exchange, many traders gradually notice that the number of successful transactions depends…

Next posts

  • First transactions on MasterCard cards across
  • US SEC has attended to safety of informants sneak
  • EURUSD analysis and forecast