Asian markets did not show uniform dynamics

Asian markets did not show uniform dynamics

Today on
Asian trading was demonstrated
mixed. Following the publication of
Information about the growth of China’s GDP (the
unconvincing in the last five years)
Asian exchanges behaved
differently. Affected and local
causes.

For example, in Hong Kong
Tuesday night will be a meeting
student protesters with representatives
administration. Against this background, Hang
Seng added 0.1%.

Composite index
the region fell by 0.5%, but on the eve of
MSCI Asia Pacific added 2.2%
(This was the biggest rise since
September 2012.

Nikkei down
on 2%; Kospi lost 0.8%;
Shanghai Composite – 0,7%. Australian
S P / ASX added 0.1%, along
as already mentioned, Hang Seng.

Concerning
individual companies, for example, the Toyota
Motors Corp. It showed 1.6% bonus
fall (on the background growth of the yen against
majors). The same reason
1.5% and taken away from Sony Corp.

China
Mobile lost on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
1.8%: it announced a profit reduction
Now for the past five quarters
contract.

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Gold rises but it seems short time

Gold rises, but it seems a short time

gold rose
to the highest level in the past
six weeks. Bullion for immediate delivery
increased 0.3% to 1250.35 per ounce
(Up to September 10), and by the middle
trading session in Asian trading on
1249.39 dollars. December futures for
gold increased by 0.5% to 1250.70 at Comex.
For the second day in a row gold
rose, while Asian
markets fell.

Last week
first July yellow metal showed
growth for the whole week: Dollar
falls, the markets too, reeling, and therefore
Investors flee to “safe” assets,
which it is nothing else than the old
good gold. However, this situation is not
It promises to drag on for a long time.

“While
as there is no information about when
the Fed will raise rates, investors are
still continue to expect that the October
meeting of the American regulator
will lead to the end of QE, both
and planned in advance. Wherein
US economic statistics continue
demonstrate the strengthening of the economy,
Europe and at the same time taking
unprecedented steps to mitigate
monetary policy. It’s all bound
will strengthen the dollar against the euro and, therefore,
the long-term downtrend
gold will continue in the future. ” it
point of views Runyu Zhu, analyst
CITICS Futures Com (China).

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In Europe gloom reigns

In Europe gloom reigns

AT
Among the European markets continue to
fall: IMF reduced term
global growth market. Special
dreary forecasts drawn to
Europe.

On
17.04 MSK, towards the end of day trading,
Stoxx
Europe 600 (strongly
injured yesterday after poor
German statistics) has already managed to fall
0.66. Weakened and DAX
(-0.74%)
and CAC
40 (-0.65%)
and FTSE
(-0.29%).

Let me remind you,
Tuesday, the IMF presented its forecast
on the prospects of global economic
growth, and he was again negative (with
down for the third time this
year). Permanent weakness in the euro zone
Recently, it increased the risk of the beginning
deep recession and deflation three
Europe’s largest economies
– Germany, France and Italy. Probability
recession has doubled over the last six
months and is now running at 38%.

Charles
Steiner, a strategic consultant
SEB,
frankly
commented: “The report as a whole
It inspires a certain share in despair
regarding the fate of the world economy. ”
Other strategies, Geri Dzhenkins of LNG
Capital, he said,
what could be the agenda of the IMF consisted
to still convince the ECB
refer to the program of direct
quantitative easing. “When
European policy makers are looking at growth
and the number of employment in the United States and
UK, they are likely to set
matter how much the euro zone does not apply
the same treatment of QE,
through
who cured the Anglo-Saxons. ”

It seems
everything plays against Europe: its internal
plagues added Ebola,
which is a serious blow to the tourism,
recreational sector of course, and,
airlines. Holding IAG
(master
British
Airways and Iberia),
EasyJet, Air France, TUI, Intercontinental Hotels Group –
they all fell between 1.8 and 3.6%. Fever
and crippled French industry
Bollore group,
which
It has significant investments in the African
industry: the stock lost 6.7%.

Air
France fell
also because of the strike of pilots,
whose strike in one easy motion
hand wiped the board with revenues 20% annual
underlying profits of the company.

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Ruble loose free swimming or free fall

Ruble loose: free swimming or free fall?

Today, the central
Bank of Russia raised even higher official
US dollar against the ruble
at 25.91 kopecks. – up to 42.6525 rubles. The euro exchange rate against the ruble
were higher by 47 kopecks. – 54.3393 rubles ..

I remember that the central bank
next year would like to release
Ruble in the “free swimming” … All
more convinced that critical
levels of the ruble has long been jumped, and
Now he is no longer in “free
swimming “, and in” free fall. ”
National Russian currency is not
I was able to stay afloat because of the
sanctions ruble immediately went to the bottom.

When the oil is consolidated
near 84,11-87,80 ruble easily
“Rushed” through resistance
42.80. And now the only Russian bank –
the only seller in the forex
market, which is trying to meet
the demand for dollars and euros.

Over the past one and a half
Week in Russian society grows
severe strain due to a sharp
Growth in foreign exchange rates.
The continuing decline of the ruble could
provoke strong capital outflows
with bank deposits, and that’s when
start a real panic. And the central bank
stop it no longer can. exit only
one of either the Central Bank is changing the rules of the game, or
we wait until the dollar at 46-47 rubles
already this year.

Ruble loose free swimming or free fall

cartoon image of available sources

Recall dollar
He reached the mark of 43.20 immediately after the meeting
FOMC, and the dollar itself closed in a good plus
– Major currencies fell against the dollar
by about 150 points.

The outcome of the meeting was
on completion of the program a message
quantitative easing and the preservation of
key interest rates unchanged
level (0% – 0.25%). purchases of government bonds
They plan to finish on 31 October.

Now the pair USD / RUB
trading at
43.438, and the pair EUR / RUB
at the level of 54.674.

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End of QE will result in policy for dollar

The end of QE will result in policy for the dollar?

As expected,
US central bank last week
He confirmed the end of their program
QE (QE). approached
by the end of the six-year method
infusion of money into the economy
through large-scale asset purchases.

While it is
It is still difficult to determine the effect of
Of QE, it looks like it worked,
as expected. "Easy Money"
spawned
more resilient
economic recovery
US and
employment is growing strongly.
Low US interest rates mean
that most
part of the extra money found
its way into other
assets –
such as
housing and stocks.

But as the lead
the dollar itself now?

While,
when the dollar
It fell sharply, the Federal Reserve
expanded system
aggressive QE
In 2009, a pair of sterling / dollar
trading at
the level of 1.50-1.65.
a weakening dollar
(Above $ 1.65) were
the beginning of 2011 and at the beginning of this year,
which coincided
to the time when recovery
economy loses momentum,
in spite of the huge sums of injections.
Other factors, too,
could influence the behavior of currencies.
The fall of the dollar at the end of
2013 took place against the backdrop of a partial
government detachment
After the congress, where
failed to agree a deal for
increasing public
expenses.

The Bank also
I did not conduct the program
QE England (in 2009 and then
Again in October 2011,
July 2012), that
It coincides with the fundamental period
the weakness of sterling. Lb
It fell below $ 1.50 after the general elections in
May
2010 where
to form a government.
And the pair fell back
in early 2013, when the UK
It lost its top AAA credit rating.
Nothing like this before
It happened
in the UK since 1970.

What we can
extract useful
from this? A strong economy and the end of QE –
positive
tendency to
dollar, but the litmus test will be
Information later –
whether the recovery will last
in the long term without extra
intervention? sustainable recovery
can reinforce expectations that interest
US interest rates will rise faster and
faster than previously thought, that
Again, potentially
involve all
more dollars back.

recovery
the dollar
6% against sterling from June
reflects some hope that it
happen, as well as the risk
weakening UK.
However, as in the UK,
none
confident that US interest rates
will grow in the near future – in
?? particular in connection with the global
changes. weak growth
in the euro area and emerging markets –
as the headwinds,
that interfere
American
export.
Mitigation of global demand and the recent
a sharp decline in oil prices could
prompt the Fed that it is necessary
postpone raising interest rates if the
they slow down inflation. Meanwhile,
the political situation can still
more
complicate any forecast.

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US market will fall by 30% Expert forecast

The US market will fall by 30% – Expert forecast

expert publications
MarketWatch Mark Kuk argues that inevitable
"bearish" the trend in the US
the stock market. The market is waiting for the fall in
thirty%. But if the US market is ready for
this fall?

Mark Kuk in the summer
predicted correction at 20%, but now
it indicates a very strong
a fall. By the way, at that time, Mark is really
I was only partially right – the market index
It fell by only 10%, and a standard
Correction for the US market. But
Mark Kuk is still confident in his
forecasts and even cites evidence.

Meanwhile, indices
The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite lost more than 10%, and
Dow Jones and S P 500 soon to be joined
– Historically, the index falls later.

Recall, Mark Kuk
forecasts of their places on the basis of their own
indicator, which does not just let us return
sell signals.

Mark Kuk convinces
readers that "bearish" market
It has already started and the fall of 30% is very possible.
Listen to the experts
this version, because the summer
market decline Mark Kuk guessed a few
days in advance. But there is, of course,
Cook forecasts and shortcomings, besides
hard to believe in the probability of such
strong fall, whereas now market
in an upward motion. Now drop
it is also possible, but only after a very
high levels. At least, so
still it happened: the market went
in growth, reaching new highs, then
– correction, the panic in the media, the unexpected
turn and rise again to new heights.

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Figure of day what employers are willing to pay

Figure of the day: what employers are willing to pay a salary to graduates?

The maximum salary that Russian employers are willing to pay graduates, is 39 400 rubles., Follows from the research personnel Unity Agency. At such remuneration can expect engineers. The lowest salary of employers willing to offer lawyers without experience.

Unity Recruitment Agency to analyze the situation with vacancies for young professionals without experience. It was found that in the market there is an imbalance between the employers’ proposals and requests graduates.
Particularly large gap between expectations and reality is observed in the sectors where the amount exceeds the number of vacancies resume.

Thus, the average expected salary of young lawyers is 33 400 rubles., Whereas employers are willing to pay a total of 25 600 rubles. In this case, for one vacancy falls 2.6 CV.

In the field of media, where CV is 1.5 times more than the vacancies, the candidates requests modest. Expected salary is 36 300 rubles, employers offer -. 31 400 rubles.

The demand for graduates of financial majors too low – for each vacancy for about 2.5 CV. Nevertheless, their expectations are high. At the suggestion of 35 800 rubles. the average level of requests for 2000 rubles. more. However, applicants requests exceed 45% average border, the maximum (usually voiced their youth) reach up to 100 000 rubles.

Maximum salary Russian companies are ready to pay the engineers – 39 400 rubles. Themselves Applicants are willing to accept 38 200 rubles. Although this group also meet applicants hoping for 100 000 rubles. Applicants whose requests are much different from the average, only 13%. In this case, one of the employer has to offer just 1.2 CV.

Excessive demands of young people leads to the fact that employers refuse from the idea of ​​hiring a “cheap”, and newbies opt for a more experienced expert, says the head of department on work with clients Recruitment Unity Olga Goryunov.

Excessive expectations of graduates due to the peculiarities generation «Y», which is now actively entering the market. Ambitious «Y» are ready to defend their expectations. Even those who are now agreed on the modest amounts, are hoping that a year from their earnings will rise seriously.

However, according to Careere.ru study, only 20-30% increases in most companies, the salary of new employees in the first year of operation. And only in the new sectors (management and economics, IT and telecommunications) have the enterprise, where the growth in certain specialties may be 60%, 70%, 80%, 100%

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American premarket everything grows thanks Alibaba

American premarket: everything grows, thanks, Alibaba!

Today futures
on US stocks are growing steadily
up: investors are eager to see,
Will the record rally on Wall Street.
The focus of market participants –
Of course, Alibaba, which
yesterday one hour earned more than 2 billion
dollars.

Futures on the DJIA
increased by 0.13% and S P 500
– gained 0.17%; and the Nasdaq itself
God told him to grow and grow, the result – + 0.21%.

volatility index
at the same time it fell to its very low
level in 7 weeks.

on the volumes
today’s trading on Wall Street, which
start now one and a half hours,
may adversely affect the fact that
America celebrated Veterans Day. AT
While the stock market is
a typical day, the bond markets and
government agencies will
are closed, which means that new data
Investors will not come as much
the same as in ordinary days.

interest in
Investors will also cause the situation
the dollar: it is now updated seven years
high against the yen and it seems that
not going to stop.

futures
Alibaba shares have already risen by
4.01% – even after the actions have already
earn $ 2 billion last all
only an hour.

shares of Juniper
Networks have all chances to fall: on
premarket before the opening of trading they
already lost 1.87%. The fact that the company
now there is a change of leadership
under strange circumstances.

Famous
manufacturer of mobile cameras,
blew up the market in the summer, GoPro,
It shows its overvaluation and
today premarket has lost 4.19%
(Announcing the offer of secondary
shares for $ 800 million).

traded in
US shares of British Telecommunications
Giant Vodafone PLC added
as much as 6.09% before the start of trading, after
the company reported a serious
growth at the expense of key European
markets.

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Asian markets closed Tuesday mostly positive

Asian markets closed Tuesday mostly positive

Bargaining
in the Asia-Pacific region on Tuesday ended
mixed. The composite index MSCI
Asia Pacific grew by 0.2%. Nikkei
225 added 2,1%, Hang Seng increased
to 0,3%, KOSPI strengthened by 0.2%.
Australian index S P / ASX gone
in the negative, and then only in very minor
– at 0,1%, Shanghai Composite lost
0.2% in the quarterly reports of failed
some companies.

Growth
Japanese stock market was fairly
spur yen weakening and
makrostatistikoy (surplus
the current account). Another important incentive
– Shinzo Abe is likely to postpone
increase in the consumption tax, plus
moreover in this regard may be declared
early parliamentary elections.

Among
individual companies worth mentioning
Korean cosmetics company Amorepacific
Corp, which demonstrated
strong quarterly reports and
It added just 8.9%. The Japanese manufacturer
Yakult Honsha Co drinks added
5.6%. Traditionally grown in the fall of the yen
and Japanese exporters (Sony
Corp + 0,4%, Toyota Motor Corp + 1,5%).

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Gold marking near $ 1 193

Gold marking near $ 1,193

yesterday’s
Trading on the American stock market
closed in positive territory today in Asian
auction calm and moderate growth.

futures
Gold for December delivery was strengthened
at levels above $ 1,190. If speculators
activated, the sale of gold will
spending by $ 1.200-1.220. Most likely, if
price above $ 1,220 will grow to $ 1.300-1.400.

Today
Gold is trading at $ 1.194,60
ounce growth is 0.30%. support
see at a price of $ 1.173,90,
and resistance – to $ 1.204,10.

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