Its index of German economic sentiment rose sudd

Its index of German economic sentiment rose suddenly

Index
“The index of economic sentiment
Germany “unexpectedly significantly
above forecast. when we predict
value of 4.8 points, he was on the
level 6.9. This is good news – because
they mean that the business environment
“Locomotive” of the euro zone, even though
the difficult situation in the European
economy is still willing to work and
develop.

On
Against this background, one can expect temporary
strengthening of the euro and some growth check
European indices. However, all this
may be hampered by the fact that
investors await the Fed meeting and the information
on it.

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British pound rose as Bank of England head hinted

The British pound rose as the Bank of England head hinted at a rate hike

Managing the Bank of England Mark Karni said Wednesday that the rise in interest rates in the UK in the next few months may be more appropriate if the economy continues to gain momentum despite the weak performance of consumer spending. After his words the British pound rose 1% against the US dollar.
During his speech at the forum of the European Central Bank in Portugal Carney said that in the case of accelerating the growth of wages and investment companies, he will think over whether to keep the Bank of England’s key rate at a record low of 0.25%. Earlier this month, Carney advocated the preservation of the previous monetary policy, since, in his words, the regulator had to balance between accelerating inflation and slowing economic growth in the UK.
Shortly after Carney’s comments British pound rose 1.1%, to 1.2954 US dollar, reaching its highest level in three weeks. The yield on 10-year UK bonds jumped to 1.181%, the highest since the beginning of May, against 1.078% at the close on Tuesday.
"Partial rejection of the stimulus measures are likely to be necessary, as the Bank of England will no longer have to make compromises, and the decision-making process will go to normal", – he said.
Comments Carney suggests that the Bank of England yet close to raising rates after reducing them after last year’s referendum on membership in the UK ES.Istochnik: “News Feed”

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Review of financial and economic press Investors

Review of financial and economic press: Investors are afraid of the recession in the eurozone

RBC-Daily

Investors feared a recession in the eurozone

the euro zone economy at the beginning of September is in a recession, it follows from the press release of the research company Sentix. It is dedicated to the publication of that index investors’ confidence in the euro zone. Index decreased for two consecutive months. In this case, the September figures were significantly worse in August. If last month’s index was 2.7 points, but this month it dropped to negative values, to -9.8 points. This is the worst rate since July 2013, the company said.

Entry into force of the new EU sanctions slowed Finland

Finland opposed the introduction of new sanctions against Russia, which is why the EU has to be postponed for a few days of their introduction. About this newspaper The Wall Street Journal citing a statement by Prime Minister Aleksandra Stubba. According to him, the Finnish position is that the EU should wait for the introduction of new economic sanctions against Russia. “Finland as a whole does not believe that now is the right time [for sanctions],” – said Stubb. He added that “more will be discussions about the extent to which [the sanctions] will be published in the Official Journal of the EU.”

Washington insists on the introduction of new sanctions against Russia

Washington insists that the US and EU imposed new sanctions against Russia because of the situation in Ukraine. ITAR-TASS reported with reference to the official representative of the National Security Council of the White House. According to the NSS officer, the US government “is in the same position, which on Friday laid out US President Barack Obama at the end of the next NATO summit.”

DW

German Chancellor: Sanctions – the only means of pressure on the Russian Federation

Sanctions are the only means of pressure on Russia. This opinion was expressed Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel (Angela Merkel) in broadcasted on Tuesday, September 9 interview with German radio station rbb-Inforadio. The direct participation of Russia in the Ukrainian conflict "very, very obvious"And its action should not be left without consequences. Nevertheless, the German government has no doubt that the military way this conflict can not be solved, said Angela Merkel.

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European banks have found risky assets to $ 1

The European banks have found risky assets to $ 1 trillion. dollars

On the balance sheets of European banks, which are currently inspected by regulators, may be potentially unsafe assets to $ 1 trillion. This is the conclusion of Professor Stephen Alexander Berlin European School of Management and Technology (ESMT) and Dr. Josef Korte of the Goethe Institute in Frankfurt am Main.

Conductance regulator stress tests are not able to reveal the real extent of the risk in respect of sovereign bonds. Moreover, the fact that international regulations allow banks to consider them as risk-free, allowing supervisors to ignore this danger.

According to a study by Stephen and courts, 64 of Europe’s largest banks may have the balance sheets of risky assets associated with sovereign bonds, for a total amount of 806 billion euros ($ 1.04 trillion). And even despite the fact that banks can easily pass the last stage of the stress tests, the results of which will be announced in October, according to the authors of the study, they have too little capital, or, at least, very little excess capital.

"Banks too much invested in sovereign bonds, because they are amenable to the EU as the promotion and "banks are accumulating too much risk if they do not have to keep the capital, which reflects economic risks"- Stephen said. Results of the study Corte and Stephen testify that risks are localized within countries, which can cause a domino effect, when the problems of one country would entail a difficulty in other countries of the Union, like the case of Cyprus, where banks have invested EUR 5.8 billion in Greek debt, provoked a crisis that forced the island nation to ask for financial assistance to Europe and the International Monetary Fund.

According to experts, the majority of high-risk bank is located in Spain and Italy.

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Gold rises but it seems short time

Gold rises, but it seems a short time

gold rose
to the highest level in the past
six weeks. Bullion for immediate delivery
increased 0.3% to 1250.35 per ounce
(Up to September 10), and by the middle
trading session in Asian trading on
1249.39 dollars. December futures for
gold increased by 0.5% to 1250.70 at Comex.
For the second day in a row gold
rose, while Asian
markets fell.

Last week
first July yellow metal showed
growth for the whole week: Dollar
falls, the markets too, reeling, and therefore
Investors flee to “safe” assets,
which it is nothing else than the old
good gold. However, this situation is not
It promises to drag on for a long time.

“While
as there is no information about when
the Fed will raise rates, investors are
still continue to expect that the October
meeting of the American regulator
will lead to the end of QE, both
and planned in advance. Wherein
US economic statistics continue
demonstrate the strengthening of the economy,
Europe and at the same time taking
unprecedented steps to mitigate
monetary policy. It’s all bound
will strengthen the dollar against the euro and, therefore,
the long-term downtrend
gold will continue in the future. ” it
point of views Runyu Zhu, analyst
CITICS Futures Com (China).

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Russians become smaller parade

Russians become smaller parade

AT 2014
the market of goods in the luxury segment
Russia “lose weight” at 18%. such ugliness
was not even in times of crisis 2008 – 2009
years, when consumption ultradorogih
things fell by only 5%. The list
get virtually all categories
luxury goods, including clothing, watches,
jewelry, cars, accessories
etc.

causes
such a serious drop in sales of “things
for rich “become sharp devaluation
ruble, on the basis of a geopolitical crisis
Crimean events, decline in consumer
sentiment in the country, and, oddly enough,
the disappointment of the Olympic Games in Sochi, on the
which waited unprecedented upsurge
economy.

Economic
the Russian crisis and the decline in solvency
our citizens seriously affected the
Sales in Europe: France and resorts
Italy, medieval streets of Prague,
Strasbourg, shops and hotels in Spain –
They all missed a pretty big
the number of tourists.

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Screencast Maks Kayzer Corporate power Yeti and

Screencast: Maks Kayzer. Corporate power, Yeti and happiness

In the next issue "Survey Max Keizer" – economic news with commentary from leading, serious and not-so statements about the current state of the world.

Many countries have attracted the destruction of trade barriers between the states, but only a few understand the risks to
which linked the abolition of customs duties, taxes and restrictions. Leading authorities discuss programs
corporations, and in the second part of their guest – researcher of the impact of global issues
economy to culture and agriculture Helena Norberg-Hodge
– talks about how globalization affects people’s ability to
I feel happy.

Snow people who call in our honor – this is the reality? Soon there will be more and Yeti version of the review of Max Keizer, where they will talk to the yeti-language? All this – in today’s video tutorial.

Video:

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Most anticipated event publication of FOMC meeting

The most anticipated event – the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes

It is this document now waiting for a lot of investors who are already in the morning are very cautious in their dealings. Economists estimate the event as the opportunity to be a strong market volatility.

By the way, it is also actively behaved market yesterday after the publication of the report the ZEW Center for Economic Research – the index of economic sentiment in Germany in November rose to a four-month high – 11.5. Figure exceeded all forecasts.

The US Dow Jones and S P again reached new highs, all thanks to a sharp rise in securities of pharmaceutical companies.

Anticipated event today – a publication of the minutes of the last meeting of the FOMC, which decided to curtail the program QE3. The event is scheduled for 22:00 MSK. Perhaps the report would support the dollar.

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Save Europe countdown begins

Save Europe: the countdown begins

analysts
warned that the beginning of the reverse
countdown to the moment when the rescue economy
Europe will be too late. themselves
begs medical analogy
resuscitation activities.

18
– December 19 EU leaders meet
under the new chairmanship. They have
a chance to launch a joint assault on
economic stagnation and high
the unemployment rate, which threaten
Holistic education: voters
They have protested against the very
EU’s existence. However,
signs point to the fact that this
last “storm” may be crowned
failure.

Anamnesis

18
Eurozone countries are straining all their forces,
to withdraw from the consequences of their
debt crisis has aggravated
and the results of disagreements with Russia
on the Ukrainian question. inflation
the region is at a level much
below 1%, and the average unemployment rate in the jammed
11.5% (in Spain and Greece, this level
up more than half). even locomotive
European Union – Germany – almost stopped.

Former
US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers
describes a condition in which
Europe runs the risk of slipping, as the long-term
stagnation. This is a long-term,
self-sustaining, a strong decline,
like the one that accompanied
The Great Depression of the 1930s.

See
themselves. France’s economy – flat line
cardiogram. Italy and all retreated
in the recession zone. In this case, none of these
the two countries do not reduce their deficit
budget and public debt to acceptable EU
levels. This causes tension
relations with Rome and Paris and Brussels
Berlin.

The president
The EU, which is now retiring –
Herman Van Rompuy – last week
He said in his speech: “Without jobs
economic growth and the very idea of ​​a single
Europe is in great danger. ”
Prior to his successor, Donald Pole
Tusk, will face a serious challenge:
First you need to accept the agreement on a new economic course
politicians.

Mario Draghi: "Work must not only the ECB!"

Save Europe countdown begins

The president
ECB Mario Dragi in August, while
meeting of heads of the world’s regulators
Jackson Hole, outlined the thesis that
It could become the new European course.
He called for greater rigor
the formation of national budgets.
He also recommended a
structural economic reforms,
promoting the growth and shape
large public investments
EU members. Mr. Draghi
quite logically observes that the problems
Eurozone economy should not place
only on the shoulders of the European regulator,
and each country has its part
responsible for general discord.

AT
his speech on Friday, November 21,
he continued to outline the scale
Problems. Draghi painted a pretty
bleak prospects and promised
“As soon as possible” to respond to the
new inflation fall.

All
Also, many experts believe that
“SuperMario” does a good face on
bad game. The opposition within the board
The ECB, led by the Bundesbank leader
Jens Weidmann, prevents Draghi go
for bolder measures: thus, for example,
the introduction of QE (buying
government bonds).

“AT
than most Draghi needs now
– so it is in a high-profile agreements on
summit. They must be, first, on the
the question of investment, and secondly –
about coordinated economic
reforms and significant financial demands.
This will give him the political foundation at
feet, after which he will be able to move
to the beginning of the program of quantitative
liberation “, – he said in an interview
one agency Reuter
senior EU officials. – “But
there is a great risk that the summit
EU leaders to anything not come, and the situation
It will be even worse. ”

internal
restrictions divergent basic
economic situation and the mutual
mistrust – all these factors have a huge
likely to make the summit results
disappointing. France and Italy –
second and third euro zone economy –
now have a big problem, and,
Example Merkel convinced that
they fail in their economic
reforms. Problems more than enough,
but many hope that the leaders
EU still remember warning
Mario Draghi in his speech in Jackson Hole:
“No financial arrangements,
no amount of money can not be a compensation
necessary structural reforms
the euro area. ”

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Euro go ahead German unemployment at record low

Euro, go ahead! German unemployment at a record low in 20 years

Today published
reports on the number of unemployed in Germany.
According to this report, the number is not
having a job has decreased this month
14 thousand -. to 2.87 million people. About it
According to the Federal Agency for
German employment. analysts
expected reduction in the number
unemployed only 1 thousand.

Now, according to
revised data, in October,
of unemployed in Germany decreased by
23 ths., Instead of 22 thousand., Has been reported to
this. Unemployment same was 6.6%, and
it’s a record low for the past
Twenty years!

In November, unemployment
Germany also remains at
6.6%, while the market waited for the conservation level
September – 6.7% (this was March and
September). The German economy returned
to an increase in the III quarter,
and improved performance of the business
and consumer confidence in November.
But the Bundesbank is not yet sure
Recovery will continue until the end of the year
in the same quiet rhythm.

"gradual
Recovery in Germany resumes
in the coming months, as low
unemployment and a weak euro supported
consumer spending and exports".
– says a senior economist at Capital
Economics Jennifer McCune.

The euro was little
support after this report, however,
while the pair EUR / USD keeps
negative movement – now!
It is trading at 1.2475, a decline of
0.26%.

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