Russian market is growing to match world’s stock

The Russian market is growing to match the world’s stock exchanges

on the Russian stock market opened mixed today as yesterday: MICEX index to 10:05 MSK rose 0.25% to 1377.66 points, the RTS fell by 0.20% to 1196.32 points. After 7 minutes of the market "shot"And began a rapid growth: MICEX index to 10:12 MSK rose 0.88% to 1386.29 points and the RTS added 0.46% to 1204.29 points.

Investors see no reason to refuse to buy still cheap Russian stocks greed for awhile overcome fear.
Speculators on the Russian stock market on the eve of a two-day rally, after trying to play again to increase: in the morning the market opened in different directions, before lunch there were more bargains for sale, and in the evening market is closed again without a definite trend: MICEX index rose by 0.13% to 1374 19 points, the RTS fell by 0.41% to 1198.72 points.
Close eve shortly after the Russian market, European exchanges have shown the worst result compared with Mosbirzhey: almost all the indices were down, the German DAX lost most (-1.21%), the British FTSE 100 – less than the others (-0.01%).

On the eve of the US indices declined markedly: Nasdaq – on 0,27%, S P 500 – on 0,16%, Dow Jones Industrial Average – 0.06%. Reports publishing season is already priced in, and new incentives for the assault record levels, which is the US market, no.
Exchange of the Asia-Pacific region, taking over the baton from the closed US sites have started today is positive: all the major indexes rising in the range 0.2-1%. The exception is the Chinese market: the Shanghai index fell by 0.40% to 9: 576 MSK due to weak macroeconomic data published today. In particular, the volume of new lending in one of the world’s biggest economies unexpectedly fell in July.

Gold prices sixth trading session held steady at above $ 1,310 per troy ounce (COMEX playground of the New York Mercantile Exchange).

Oil prices continue to decline. Among the reasons for the fall in oil prices – to the completion of the military operation in Israel Add news of US fuel inventories, which grew, and began working in Libya terminal "Ras Lanuf"Freed from the rebels.
The price of European Brent oil on the eve fell $ 1.66, or 1.59%, to $ 103.02 per barrel at the end of trading in London. Today Brent to 9:15 MSK lost in the price of $ 0.45, or 0.44%, and traded at $ 102.57 a barrel.
The cost of the American variety WTI (Light) at auction in New York on Tuesday fell $ 0.71, or 0.72%, to $ 97.37 a barrel today to 9:16 MSK fell to $ 97.07 (? $ 0.3 or 0.31%).

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Modified VIX Fix

Modified VIX Fix

“VIX Fix – a powerful indicator capable of detecting price depression for any asset

VIX (Volatility Index) – a ticker symbol implied volatility of S&P 500 calculated Chicago Board Options Exchange. VIX is a popular measure of market risk, as well as one of the best ways to measure the existing price depressions. Unfortunately, it exists only for S&P 500 …

The indicator VIX Fix Larri Vilyamsom was published in 2007. It synthesizes the volatility index VIX for any asset (not only the S&P). VIX Fix reflects the interest of investors in the future of the movement, where high indicators associated with price depressions. The influence of investor sentiment is amplified in the price troughs, so VIX and VIX Fix is ​​best suited to determine only depressions. Here, we present a modified VIX Fix, which includes the modification of the standard deviation and the Stochastic, Williams proposed in article 2007, releasing the depression and help you accurately find the entries in the transaction.

alerts

We’ve added alerts and email alert, are sent in determining the price depression period “Normal” VIX Fix (i.e., turquoise color histogram bars) and at the intersection of the signal line stochastic user upper and lower thresholds “Stochastic” VIX Fix (see screenshots). Information about the e-mail recipients and SMTP must be indicated in the MT4 settings before using e-mail alerts.

Options

  • VIX Type (Regular or Stochastic): Selecting one of the display types, normal VIX Fix (wherein the hollows are allocated using BB) or stochastic VIX Fix
  • Color Scheme (Default or User Define): Selecting a color scheme: Default – the default, “User Define” – manual adjustment of the indicator color
  • Invert values ​​(may help visualization): Reverse values. In normal mode, higher values ​​indicate pricing VIX Fix cavity. When inversion low values ​​of VIX Fix mean price depression, some people prefer this type of visualization. This inverts both regular and stochastic VIX.
  • Calculation period for standard deviation (Default = 22): the number of bars used for calculating the standard deviation, which is used in the calculation
  • Bollinger band length (Default = 20): for calculating the number of bars BB (VIX is applied to the conventional type, selection bars turquoise color)
  • Bollinger band standard deviations (Default = 2.0): number of standard deviations for calculation BB (VIX is applied to the conventional type, selection bars turquoise color)
  • Calculation period for percentile (Default = 50): the number of bars to calculate the percentage change (VIX is applied to the conventional type, selection bars turquoise color)
  • High percentile threshold (0.85 = 05%): custom threshold for a high percentage range (VIX is applied to the conventional type, selection bars turquoise color)
  • Stochastic K period (if VixStochastic Type): the number of bars for the calculation of the line K stochastic VIX
  • Stochastic D period (if VixStochastic Type): the number of bars for the averaging calculation line D from the line K stochastic VIX
  • Turns on / off all alerts: Include (if true) or off (if false) all notifications. When choosing VIX conventional type, that is all that is required, it will include a warning on price depressions (turquoise histogram bars). When choosing the type VixStochastic, also need to select the type of alert (See options “For VixStochastic: …” below)
  • For VixStochastic: Alert when above upper threshold: When true alerts are delivered when the value of the stochastic VIX Fix will be above a certain upper threshold user
  • For VixStochastic: Upper alert threshold (Default = 80.0): A user-defined upper threshold for alert. This is an absolute value that automatically adapts to a negative value if Invert Values ​​= true.
  • For VixStochastic: Alert when below lower threshold: When true alerts are delivered when the value of the stochastic VIX Fix will be below a certain lower threshold, the user
  • For VixStochastic: Lower alert threshold (Default = 20.0): A user-defined lower threshold for alert. This is an absolute value that automatically adapts to a negative value if Invert Values ​​= true.
  • Turn on alerts message: If true, the update will appear in a popup window
  • Turn on alerts sound: When true beeping
  • Turn on alerts email: If true, the notification will be sent by email

Determination of the entry and exit points

Modified VIX Fix It defines the periods of market downturn, and stochastic modification VIX helps to detect an entry point (call). However, the VIX does not determine the exit point, as the indicator is best suited to determine the price troughs, not tops.

Modified VIX Fix well with fading trend indicators, such as the Fano Factor, for detecting the exit points and / or Relative Momentum Index to determine / confirm the inputs and outputs.

Modified VIX Fix

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WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator

WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator

WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator – a modification of the popular and convenient WaveTrend oscillator. WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator adds a component in the calculation of the rate of WaveTrend, to more quickly provide more accurate entry point in a trending market.

Do you prefer the original oscillator WaveTrend? WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator It allows you to switch between the tempo and the original versions of the WT. They both provide valuable information depending on market conditions.

When WT lines are above the level perekuplennosti and intersect below the control line, it is a good signal to sell. When WT lines are above the level pereprodannosti and intersect above the reference line, it is a good signal to buy. Colored circles indicate the signals to buy and sell. Differences between WT and price movement may indicate an upcoming turn.

alerts

We added the sending of audio, pop-up and e-mails at intersections WaveTrend in overbought conditions (sell signal) and oversold (buy signal). Levels perekuplennosti pereprodannosti and selected by the user. Information about the e-mail recipients and SMTP must be indicated in the MT4 settings before using e-mail alerts.

Options

  • WaveTrend Type (Momentum or Original): Selection or tempo of the original type indicator WaveTrend
  • Calculation period (Default = 10): the number of bars to calculate WaveTrend
  • Averaging period (Default = 21): the number of bars for averaging WaveTrend
  • Momentum Length (Default = 4): the number of bars for the calculation of the rate of WaveTrend
  • Overbought Level (circles & alerts): User-defined overbought level to draw colored circles and send notifications
  • Oversold Level (circles & alerts): User-defined level of oversold to draw colored circles and send notifications
  • Turn on / off all alerts: If true, resolve any warning to the false prohibited all alerts
  • Alert when signal crosses ctrl above overbought level: If true, the notification will be delivered at the intersection of lines above WT levels perekuplennosti (put signal)
  • Alert when signal crosses ctrl below oversold level: If true, the notification will be delivered at the intersection of lines above WT levels pereprodannosti (call signal)
  • Turn on alerts message: If true, the update will appear in a popup window
  • Turn on alerts sound: When the true signals are supplied to the sound
  • Turn on alerts email: If true, the notification will be sent by email

WaveTrend Momentum Oscillator

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BRIKC country associated risks when investing

BRIKC country associated risks when investing

In 2001, Jim O’Neill (. English, Jim O’Neil), economist, one of the largest commercial banks Goldman Sachs in the world, used the abbreviation BRIKC (English, BRIC.) With respect to the four countries – Brazil, Russia, India and China . Then the analyst did not know that by doing so made the most courageous macroeconomic application of all time. O’Neill suggested that in the future the state will be listed the main drivers of the global economy, given their correct demographic characteristics, the vast resources of wealth, the growth of the middle class, as well as a relatively stable fiscal and monetary policy. While the predictions come true economist. The growth index MSCI BRIC over the past 10 years, more than 8 times higher than the income from S P 500, and the total volume of GDP BRIKC countries last year jumped to 13.3 trillion dollars.

Equally good results have led many investors to include these
emerging countries in their portfolios, so that you can
would benefit from the rapid growth of the group. However, despite the
rosier long-term BRIKC countries, here lies a lot
risks in addition to the global macroeconomic pressures. Finally,
not without reason these economies called “developing”.

Investors are extremely important to deal with all the “pitfalls”
given the large contribution BRIKC countries into the world economy and their
share in emerging market assets. Since each of the four
countries is radically different from each other, understand the characteristics of risk
Each of them – a truly difficult task. When investing in the country
BRIKC should not lose sight of the inherent risks, which will be mentioned
below.

Dragon full of lies

When it comes to emerging markets investments,
the most popular option in the minds of many investors is China.
In the end, the country has all the classic signs
emerging market. Nevertheless, to invest in the economy
Asian Dragon is not as easy as to buy a share in Germany.

The biggest problem most likely is the lack of
generally accepted accounting principles (Eng., GAAP) or
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). this aspect
many by surprise even the best investors. For example, the control
hedge fund billionaire Dzhon Polson (Eng., John Paulson) lost a lot of
money on Chinese forest plantations, Sino-Forest Corp. Thus, the company
He accused of falsifying books and falsification of land
possessions. Often the charges are recorded in the forgery of bank deposits and
accounts. Due to the disclosure of information and lack of transparency much
difficult to see the real picture, especially when compared with the shares
Companies in developed countries.

Things get even worse when investors have to deal with
dubious official Chinese statistics and overly regulated and
because bureaucratic communist government. Most
large companies in the country one way or another controlled by Beijing.

The endless corruption in Russia

Despite the recent accession to the World Trade Organization
(WTO), the investor may face considerable investment
risks. The largest of them is corruption and political
pressure. It has become a commonplace that bribery and organized
crime permeates legal business. according to
A study by Information Science for
Democracy Foundation, the average size of small bribes in the last 10 years
The Russian Federation has been steadily increasing. In 2001, it was
priblizitelno1817 rubles, while by 2010 had risen to
5285, which accounted for 93% of the average worker’s salary.

Investors also have to confront the local government. If
adhere to views that do not coincide with the President’s wishes
Vladimir Putin, the development of business, as well as the investment process,
It may stall. In an extreme case, the investor can threaten and imprisonment
Finally. An example is the story Mihaila Hodorkovskogo,
former chairman of the oil giant Yukos. In 2005
he was accused of bribery, but it is believed that the real reason
are political in nature.

Latin American raw king

Although corruption is not open in Brazil as serious
the problem, as in Russia, investors still face certain
risks. They create a “protectionist approach of the government.” Now
country occupies 2nd place in Latin America in the number of protectionist
measures, behind only Argentina. Here we should mention the support of the local
products, high tariffs on imported goods, tax exemptions
to support domestic producers and limit access
investors in the strategically important natural resources. For example, if
investor wants to participate in the development of oil fields, he
partnerstvovat necessary to state energy giant
Petrobras. In general, such a policy can lead to the fact that
Brazil lose part of the profit from the investment, if the government would go
further and nationalize various assets.

Asian bureaucratic nightmare

Given the high degree of power of the people in India, the investor is quite ready
encounter with some fraction bureaucracy. However, Indian
bureaucratic machine is called “the most stifling in the world.” open your
business in India is very difficult, because the local and national
government usually puts his hand to the commercial market. Similarly
Investors impossible to enforce the contract, especially
When business partners tend to make deals with undeclared
third party. According to estimates of the Hong Kong Science Center
Political and Economic Risk Consultancy, India’s bureaucratic
the system simply does not allow the country to equalize the rate of economic growth
with their opposing countries.

conclusion

BRIKC country can boast of its economic growth and
provides investors with new opportunities to replenish the portfolio
valuable papers. However, investors still await a lot of risks.
Understanding all the “pitfalls” is the key to success in
conditions as rapidly developing economies of giants.

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SignalFinder MA

SignalFinder MA

SignalFinderMA – multi-indicator, which displays on the same graph the information about the direction of the trend on several currency pairs and timeframes. the trend calculation is based on the indicator Moving Average.

Main characteristics:

  • Mounted on a single graph.
  • Definition of a trend going on the last closed bar.
  • Intuitive and simple interface.

Input parameters:

  • Symbols – currency pairs.
  • TimeFrames – time periods (time frames).
  • MA Period – period moving average.
  • MA Shift – shift of the moving average.
  • MA Method – a method of smoothing moving average.
  • MA Applied Price – the price for the moving average calculation.

List of currency pairs and time frames specified, separated by commas.

If the currency pair or timeframe does not exist or is entered in error, the table they will be marked in magenta.

Indicator Signals:

  • Blue arrow – on the last bar closed bullish trend.
  • Red arrow down – on the last bar closed bearish trend.
  • Gray point – the absence of a trend.
  • Yellow dot – loading history.

SignalFinder MA

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Length Movement MT5

Length Movement MT5

It measures the length of the selected movements in pips.

It is intended to measure the average typical motion that suggests the expected size after the motion signal.

Often the market is moving in one direction about the movements of the same length (if such a pattern is now present). By measuring the length of these motions, it is possible to understand how many points will be roughly estimated movement after signal.

This will provide information on the ratio of the size of the foot to the possible profit and will not open a position with a known small expected return.

Or if the movement is already underway, comparing it with the size of the typical movements (as is now usually the price goes), we can assume the point where it is more logical to close a position as possible: pullback / correction / reversal.

As well, this indicator can be useful if you need to measure the length of any movement or length of a large number of movements and see the information on the monitor.

settings

  • Move_to_create_buttons – the color of the text that specifies where to create the button.
  • BUTTON_OFF – color buttons.
  • BUTTON_ON – the color of the buttons pressed.
  • background_BUTTON – background buttons (by default the same as the background graphics).
  • Line – color measuring line.
  • Line_Style – measuring line style.
  • Text_Down – color of the text to move down.
  • Text_Up – text color for upward movement.
  • Font_Size – font size, indicating the points.

Length Movement MT5

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Idea for SP500

The idea for the SP500

It looks like this so that the most significant results are obtained when the market is closed in the bottom 20% of the daily range. It does not imply closing 20% ​​lower that the sale was on average too emotional? I noticed, considering these data, I can easily recall the large number of times when the market is closed on the slide, and the next day continued to fall. Purchase under such conditions do psychologically is more risky than buying after a hard day bullish, which is closed at the top of the day’s trading range. Yet the data show that 20% of today’s close, on average, lower yields better results in the next 24 hours, and closing in the upper 20% – for the worse.

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When stocks and bonds do not give anything or

When stocks and bonds do not give anything – or how to make money work

Historically, that sometimes there were periods when the dividend yield of the stock market was very low. There have also been instances where a long time bondholders received a very modest income from its securities. And then, and another goal at the moment investors in a difficult position.

Charles Farrell, CEO of Northstar Investment Advisors, considered that if his portfolio contains equal shares list S P 500 and the medium-term government bonds, they would give a yield of 1.67% last year and is projected – 1.85% this year. But in 1925, the owner would have received from the same 4.3% income portfolio.

The thing is that
stocks and bonds, which give us
Now less income, we need to make
work that they bring us money.
He estimated that if, within the next
decades portfolio will also share
equally between stocks and bonds,
total revenue from it will be about
2-2.5 percentage points per year more than
inflation. With inflation at 2.1%
the last 12 months (compared to
average 3%) current low income
from stocks and bonds are not as worried,
as it seems, "even if both the market
will grow by 30% and give more inflated
with cash flows in terms of income".

Medium-term government bonds
(Five-year) currently provide
income by 1.8%. You get meager returns
yields below the inflation rate, and you
could suffer if interest
rates have sharply increased. What is the profit of 1,9%
for S P 500? Investors seem to be less
outraged by this, that, in part because
companies themselves aggressively buying back its
shares, which gives a chance to return the money
shareholders.

Over the past ten
years the company bought enough
the number of shares to compensate
new release. This change is historic
template when shareholders collectively
see its stake diluted to several
again – by about two percentage points
in year. And it becomes not clear whether
continue the pace of foreclosures. Companies have already started
free use corporate
cash to buy back shares,
partly because they are reluctant
at great expense. However, low
costs can not be sustained. Besides
addition, the timing of these ransoms sometimes frightening.
For example, companies selling more
volumes of stocks at the market peak in 2007, and
then sharply “cut” back to their
during the collapse in 2008 and 2009, and now again
sell these shares.

When stocks and bonds do not give anything or

stock market investors
also not so much concerned about the tiny
dividend yield, because
they have become accustomed, that dividends provide
through the sale of shares. In fact, in
Falling equity markets, as a rule,
better not to go, while
high-yield stocks is often better to keep
profitability. There is a more fundamental
question: how to make money from the company,
which will never return money
shareholders, and you depend on someone
another who pay more for their shares,
what you have done so.

Farrell advises
repay their debts. Suppose
you have a mortgage loan worth
5%. It seems “cheap” money.
But the pace and scale of the impact is likely to
higher than the return of your bond,
so it makes sense to sell bonds
to repay the mortgage loan.

And what to do with your
portfolio? Given the investment
costs and minimize
Investment tax bill, you
We should keep more than the markets provide.
It turns out obvious: save more.

"if you have
$ 500,000 in a portfolio with a yield of 4%, you
add $ 20,000 annually
as income portfolio"notes
Farrell. "But if it will only
2%, you add only $ 10,000 per year. that
compensate for the loss, you should pay more
and save, you might want to share,
that will give you more income".

Finally,
Farrell proposes to reduce the risk of
bonds through the purchase of securities with less
term, higher-quality bonds,
and more funds to invest in shares,
including stocks of companies that regularly
pay dividends.

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Moving Linear Regression

Moving Linear Regression

Moving Linear Regression (MLR) – indicator indicating the calculated value of the linear regression on each bar (candle). Indicator is drawn on a graph as curve.

It has two parameters:

  • Per – the number of bars (candles) used to calculate the value of the linear regression;
  • Shift – offset relative to the current schedule.

You can use the MLR indicator as a better alternative to the “retarded” Moving Average.

The most effective is the use of the indicator on “Intersection – bounce” strategy (see screenshot 3).

Moving Linear Regression

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WideMa

WideMa

WideMa – this trend indicator, which displays the trend in the form of arrows, depending on the moving average.

The indicator calculates the moving average, and compares it with the opening price and the momentum of the bar for each configured by default 20.

Options

  • MA_Period – the number of bars for the moving average, the default 20.
  • MA_Type – the moving average method.
  • App_Price – the price for the moving average calculation.

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