Idea for SP500

The idea for the SP500

It looks like this so that the most significant results are obtained when the market is closed in the bottom 20% of the daily range. It does not imply closing 20% ​​lower that the sale was on average too emotional? I noticed, considering these data, I can easily recall the large number of times when the market is closed on the slide, and the next day continued to fall. Purchase under such conditions do psychologically is more risky than buying after a hard day bullish, which is closed at the top of the day’s trading range. Yet the data show that 20% of today’s close, on average, lower yields better results in the next 24 hours, and closing in the upper 20% – for the worse.

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When stocks and bonds do not give anything or

When stocks and bonds do not give anything – or how to make money work

Historically, that sometimes there were periods when the dividend yield of the stock market was very low. There have also been instances where a long time bondholders received a very modest income from its securities. And then, and another goal at the moment investors in a difficult position.

Charles Farrell, CEO of Northstar Investment Advisors, considered that if his portfolio contains equal shares list S P 500 and the medium-term government bonds, they would give a yield of 1.67% last year and is projected – 1.85% this year. But in 1925, the owner would have received from the same 4.3% income portfolio.

The thing is that
stocks and bonds, which give us
Now less income, we need to make
work that they bring us money.
He estimated that if, within the next
decades portfolio will also share
equally between stocks and bonds,
total revenue from it will be about
2-2.5 percentage points per year more than
inflation. With inflation at 2.1%
the last 12 months (compared to
average 3%) current low income
from stocks and bonds are not as worried,
as it seems, "even if both the market
will grow by 30% and give more inflated
with cash flows in terms of income".

Medium-term government bonds
(Five-year) currently provide
income by 1.8%. You get meager returns
yields below the inflation rate, and you
could suffer if interest
rates have sharply increased. What is the profit of 1,9%
for S P 500? Investors seem to be less
outraged by this, that, in part because
companies themselves aggressively buying back its
shares, which gives a chance to return the money
shareholders.

Over the past ten
years the company bought enough
the number of shares to compensate
new release. This change is historic
template when shareholders collectively
see its stake diluted to several
again – by about two percentage points
in year. And it becomes not clear whether
continue the pace of foreclosures. Companies have already started
free use corporate
cash to buy back shares,
partly because they are reluctant
at great expense. However, low
costs can not be sustained. Besides
addition, the timing of these ransoms sometimes frightening.
For example, companies selling more
volumes of stocks at the market peak in 2007, and
then sharply “cut” back to their
during the collapse in 2008 and 2009, and now again
sell these shares.

When stocks and bonds do not give anything or

stock market investors
also not so much concerned about the tiny
dividend yield, because
they have become accustomed, that dividends provide
through the sale of shares. In fact, in
Falling equity markets, as a rule,
better not to go, while
high-yield stocks is often better to keep
profitability. There is a more fundamental
question: how to make money from the company,
which will never return money
shareholders, and you depend on someone
another who pay more for their shares,
what you have done so.

Farrell advises
repay their debts. Suppose
you have a mortgage loan worth
5%. It seems “cheap” money.
But the pace and scale of the impact is likely to
higher than the return of your bond,
so it makes sense to sell bonds
to repay the mortgage loan.

And what to do with your
portfolio? Given the investment
costs and minimize
Investment tax bill, you
We should keep more than the markets provide.
It turns out obvious: save more.

"if you have
$ 500,000 in a portfolio with a yield of 4%, you
add $ 20,000 annually
as income portfolio"notes
Farrell. "But if it will only
2%, you add only $ 10,000 per year. that
compensate for the loss, you should pay more
and save, you might want to share,
that will give you more income".

Finally,
Farrell proposes to reduce the risk of
bonds through the purchase of securities with less
term, higher-quality bonds,
and more funds to invest in shares,
including stocks of companies that regularly
pay dividends.

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Moving Linear Regression

Moving Linear Regression

Moving Linear Regression (MLR) – indicator indicating the calculated value of the linear regression on each bar (candle). Indicator is drawn on a graph as curve.

It has two parameters:

  • Per – the number of bars (candles) used to calculate the value of the linear regression;
  • Shift – offset relative to the current schedule.

You can use the MLR indicator as a better alternative to the “retarded” Moving Average.

The most effective is the use of the indicator on “Intersection – bounce” strategy (see screenshot 3).

Moving Linear Regression

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WideMa

WideMa

WideMa – this trend indicator, which displays the trend in the form of arrows, depending on the moving average.

The indicator calculates the moving average, and compares it with the opening price and the momentum of the bar for each configured by default 20.

Options

  • MA_Period – the number of bars for the moving average, the default 20.
  • MA_Type – the moving average method.
  • App_Price – the price for the moving average calculation.

WideMa

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Bears Power Mod

Bears Power Mod

In the standard display Bears Power is used EMA – Exponential Moving Average closing price – Price Close, which somewhat limits the capabilities of this indicator.

In the present display Bears Power Mod added a choice of four moving averages and seven applied prices that can significantly enhance the ability of this indicator.

Bears Power Mod

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Apple lost Chinese audience where to put new

Apple lost the Chinese audience: where to put the new iPhone 6?

On the eve of the long-awaited
tomorrow’s presentation of the company
Apple in many
It appears a variety of media
materials, which are not only write about
company about the devices and on the managers
Apple. Perhaps,
most unusual article this weekend
was that if you’re going
buy a new iPhone, will have
Change clothes.

It was
China is one scary story. AT
August 2012, the whole country was
shocked by the news that a teenager in
Hunan Southern Province sold one of
his kidneys to buy a new
iPhone. And the horror did not end there –
Soon the police found the gang that
bought up human bodies, using
as bait Apple expensive phones. Horror, you agree?

such sensational
history, when people line up
long queues in front of shops where
Apple releases its new sale
product, suggest that
China – the largest market in the world
Smartphones – the people just crazy
mobile phones.

And yet, the kidney-for-iPhone
illustrates a key reason why
Golden Age for Apple in China, may be,
I have come to an end. In a country where the workers
They earn an average of just over $ 600 a month,
budget phones that cost less
three times than the iPhone. For example, Phones
Chinese manufacturing Xiaomi More
replacing the American giant, the Chinese phones are even looks very
similar. And the company faster "squeezes" Apple to Chinese
market. So, in May of this year, Xiaomi
ahead of Apple, although at that time was still standing on the
third place behind Samsung and Lenovo Group in terms of sales.

Apple lost Chinese audience where to put new

Presentation of the next Xiaomi news, April 2014

However, while
budget smartphone in China is cheaper
1,000 yuan ($ 162), iPhone still enjoys
demand among affluent consumers. IN 2013
Umeng, the Agency conducted a survey,
released in March last year, which
It showed that among phones "of high
class" (More expensive 3,000 yuan, or $ 486), about
80% – iPhones. But the essence of something is that cheap
phones used mainly for
entertainment, and users who
buy more expensive and quality
Gadgets, nominate more
requirements – they need a machine with the help of
which they can use
Mobile search, monitor
personal finance, shopping and
t. e. Given this trend, not
surprisingly, in Hong Kong (one of
the richest places in China) "iPhone-mania"
until it weakens.

By the way, China Mobile, the largest
provider of wireless communication in China,
I have already started taking pre
orders for the iPhone 6. On Monday morning
the company is already registered 65392
pre-orders. But if the price
a new gadget will be big, it can
be a problem in the Chinese market.

Tomorrow, 9 September, the presentation of new products from Apple. The whole world is waiting for the statements of many new media iPhone 6, clock iWatch and the OS update iOS 8.

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Why rich are rich They invest not how all

Why the rich are rich? They invest not how all

On BBC Capital portal set
the question of how to make money very
Rich people, where they invest. I
translated for you this column – suddenly
tomorrow you’ll be the ultra
man, and what to do with money –
come up with can not.
When we have a little
money that can be invested, we could
to buy them securities of mutual funds,
or any shares. Can we
spit on everything and spend them on sixth
iPhone. A really rich
They act differently. They often place
their money in real estate objects
art, or directly invest in pleasing them
businesses – and in those which
most of us can only dream of.
How this thin layer of investors
It allocates its capital, distinguishes them
most of us. And casts
on them a light veil of mystery.

Investments for only
wealthy

Why rich are rich They invest not how all

Wealthy people have access
to a number of investments, the existence or
the possibility that the majority of the rank and file
Market participants do not even know.
Closed-end funds – is
long-term investment where the money
invested for at least five years, and they
They offer a very wide access to
huge profits and high earnings.
For example, a very promising
area of ​​investment – leasing of aircraft,
said Ian Marsh, Head
the company managing the assets of Jan
Fleming.
His clients are working with
a company that invests
investors in the purchase of aircraft. Then
aircraft leased a large
Airlines – for example, Emirates
Airlines. The yield of
around 9% per annum. For comparison –
average earnings per share of the company,
included in the S P 500 –
about 3%.
The minimum investment in the fund
It is 10 000 euros, and the original
a one-time fee is 5% of the amount
investments.
Another example – a very rich holders
capital in the UK and the US are buying
agricultural grounds. Here
there is a “long-range”: the world is growing
population, the demand for products, too
increases, and those who own large
arable land, will not be lost than ever.
Arable land – a scarce resource,
so it is very nice to him and
quickly invested people with
money. Good Earth today can
give the investor about 4% per year, plus
annually increasing price of land.
There is, incidentally, the company “for the rich”
which consist in public listings.
Their actions you may well buy
independently on the stock market.
For example, Gladstone Land –
American company, which is precisely
and is engaged in buying up farmland.

Investments in start-ups

Why rich are rich They invest not how all

This is perfectly natural for the rich
people who buy businesses one
for others, invested in a variety of
branch of activity. For example, Joshua
Coleman invests in many
Companies mainly technological
sector and professional services
services. He has a share in a number of
companies that he can not give the exact
number. “They are many,” – he says.

Usually it will invest more than 1 million
dollars to get a piece of the company.
This does, of course, not himself
directly and specifically designed army
from professional brokers and
analysts.
Devid Rouz, a New York businessman
and author of “Angel investment:
guide on how to make money
and get pleasure from start-ups ”
says: “This is – very funny and fun
– to see how growing and developing
the company, which was put on its feet
you personally, and not do anything but
how to invest to get some money. Imagine
Suppose you come into Google,
when she was still at the level of
startup. You will be able to weekly
observe its founders to grow
her as a kitten hand and watch
she learns to jump from his chair at the
sofa and go to the tray. This is insane
interesting!”.

Mr. Rose modestly
silent about the fact that it can be
also profitable. Although, of course,
Investors are putting their investments under the
threat – 50% of start-ups in the end
go bankrupt, according to Rose.
He invests in companies 50 000 – 100 000
dollars, and it is recognized that in some
Investments made millions who
with interest paid back the money lost.

Investments in passion

Why rich are rich They invest not how all

Investment “in passion” – really
available only to the wealthy pleasure.
Art objects, cars, watches,
wine, musical instruments – all
it finds its value in the world of the non-poor
of people. They are bought not only because
that many of these items alone
Statement is an investment and a rise in price
everyday. millionaires do
enjoy them, use them, look
they are proud of and show off in front of each
other.
“These investments are not always committed
only his head, but with your heart, “- he says
Guy Hudson, CEO and
Head of Business Development Department in Stonehage
Investment Partners. The most interesting – that
it brings not only aesthetic
enjoyment, but also money. according to
research firm Hudson value
“Investment in a passion” for increased
2013 by almost 15%.
There are several standard methods
invest in passion (depending,
Of course, the subject of passion). For example,
Wine Investment Fund requires
a minimum investment of $ 10,000
Euro. There are other funds, interest
which focused on the arts
or cars. Some of them may
require recommendations, so you
not necessarily be able to buy shares
Fund, even if you can afford
pay an initial fee.
Another way – the auction. There you can
buy paintings or sculptures, objects
art at an affordable price (of course,
if it will not be Van Gogh or Modigliani).
And here already it is necessary to guess the “correct”
Do you put money creator.


Real estate investment

Why rich are rich They invest not how all

Too many rich people as a piggy bank
to use their own money
property as Paul says
Patterson, Deputy Chairman
in wealth management RBC
in Toronto.
Someone buys a ready commercial
real estate, someone builds dorogushchie
condominiums in London, New York,
Frankfurt and other business centers
world. Many of these areas are designed
for subsequent sale, but many
millionaires living quietly on his
own living space when
travel. “Several houses in
different parts of the world – this is a very
convenient, and yet they have a high value
in the long run, especially
if they are not in Peru and Mozambique ”
– tells us Mr. Patterson.
It is unlikely that the average consumer will be
kvariru able to buy in a luxury
the New York area, but you can try
buy another house in its own
area if we are not talking about cities
like the Detroit real estate –
an asset that increases every year
its value, and in Russia it is still
and does it much faster than the overall
market.
There are lots of corporations that
purchase the commercial and residential
the property. Their securities may
buy any stock market player.

Bryan
Borzykowski, journalist
BBFROM
Capital.
Transfer
Anomalia

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Major oil companies are cutting production

Major oil companies are cutting production

such large
oil companies like ExxonMobil, Chevron and Shell have already
We are thinking that it’s time to reduce
production volumes. This decision
the company is pushing the declining price
oil.

According to The Wall
Street Journal, these companies have already stated,
that the profitability of their production for
the last 10 years has taken a beating despite
high oil prices. Over the past
year average return on oil
Giants was 26% (ten years ago
It was 35%). Expenses for oil rising,
and behind them is growing and its cost.

Comprehensive income
ExxonMobil, Chevron and Shell for the III quarter was
$ 18.9 billion. Due to the reduction of the company’s revenues
We have to give
of growth projects
and they already sell the least profitable
divisions. I must say that this
trend has affected not only large
Company – according to Sanford C. Bernstein, from the beginning
2013 worldwide oil and gas lifted
projects worth $ 200 billion.

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Figure of day what employers are willing to pay

Figure of the day: what employers are willing to pay a salary to graduates?

The maximum salary that Russian employers are willing to pay graduates, is 39 400 rubles., Follows from the research personnel Unity Agency. At such remuneration can expect engineers. The lowest salary of employers willing to offer lawyers without experience.

Unity Recruitment Agency to analyze the situation with vacancies for young professionals without experience. It was found that in the market there is an imbalance between the employers’ proposals and requests graduates.
Particularly large gap between expectations and reality is observed in the sectors where the amount exceeds the number of vacancies resume.

Thus, the average expected salary of young lawyers is 33 400 rubles., Whereas employers are willing to pay a total of 25 600 rubles. In this case, for one vacancy falls 2.6 CV.

In the field of media, where CV is 1.5 times more than the vacancies, the candidates requests modest. Expected salary is 36 300 rubles, employers offer -. 31 400 rubles.

The demand for graduates of financial majors too low – for each vacancy for about 2.5 CV. Nevertheless, their expectations are high. At the suggestion of 35 800 rubles. the average level of requests for 2000 rubles. more. However, applicants requests exceed 45% average border, the maximum (usually voiced their youth) reach up to 100 000 rubles.

Maximum salary Russian companies are ready to pay the engineers – 39 400 rubles. Themselves Applicants are willing to accept 38 200 rubles. Although this group also meet applicants hoping for 100 000 rubles. Applicants whose requests are much different from the average, only 13%. In this case, one of the employer has to offer just 1.2 CV.

Excessive demands of young people leads to the fact that employers refuse from the idea of ​​hiring a “cheap”, and newbies opt for a more experienced expert, says the head of department on work with clients Recruitment Unity Olga Goryunov.

Excessive expectations of graduates due to the peculiarities generation «Y», which is now actively entering the market. Ambitious «Y» are ready to defend their expectations. Even those who are now agreed on the modest amounts, are hoping that a year from their earnings will rise seriously.

However, according to Careere.ru study, only 20-30% increases in most companies, the salary of new employees in the first year of operation. And only in the new sectors (management and economics, IT and telecommunications) have the enterprise, where the growth in certain specialties may be 60%, 70%, 80%, 100%

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Tended layout

tended layout

If you put on the chart moving averages with periods ranging from 1 to 1200, and divided them in the color spectrum, you can get a very interesting graph. This method is called Tendentsialnaya Planimetry, you can google or poyandeksit.

Tended layout

Putting a pattern on the monthly chart we get a picture like the picture above. On the monthly chart is drawn only around 300 MA schedule as it has "green" – comes just before the green spectrum. With convenient – clearly drawn "trend axis"Which is now in the region of 1,200.
Full spectral picture (1200 MA) currency pair can be obtained on the daily chart:

Tended layout

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