Bank of England did not succumb to temptation

The Bank of England did not succumb to the temptation and kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged

Today, in a statement
Bank of England sounded information
that as long as the bank does not intend to change the base
interest rate, leaving it at the level
0.5% per annum. This level is
minimum already since the founding
British Central Bank.

By the way, the information
coincided with analysts’ expectations.

British Central Bank also
retained volume of asset purchases
at the same level – 375 billion pounds
sterling (about $ 636 billion). Actually
this means that the program funds
which were exhausted in October 2013
year, is currently suspended.

The last time the Bank
England changed the rate March 5, 2009 –
then it was reduced to the current
level of 0.5%, which is minimal
over 320 years of history of the Central Bank.

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Why is panacea for investors have found in western

Why is the panacea for investors have found in western pension funds and what they should learn

Private investors is not easy to determine in which
country and in what format of real estate they invest. There is an opinion that the benchmark should be kept to foreign pension
funds and invest in the same property as they are. Why?
It is believed that they have a very strong investment analysts do not
allowing funds to burn through even in the most critical situations. There are reasons to believe?

The main reason for confidence in the funds, according to experts – is the giant their experience. According to managing real estate investments, the founder of the consulting portal Indriksons.ru Igor Indriksons,
funds buy all the available intelligence, and, by definition, know much
more private investors. “Normal a private investor is not able to
analyzed at the level of experts of the best business schools in the world. Also
agents can not “dissolve” the funds for the purchase of illiquid real estate, and
a private investor may well. Salaries and bonuses of top management
funds are directly dependent on how much will be successful in the investment
this or that object “, – explains the expert. In other words, employees
Fund appears weighty motivation for the study of the market. More
of funds, mainly adhere to the traditional, conservative strategy, and
therefore, the most sensibly assess investment risks.

capital preservation

According to the specialist in the real estate GDN Property Nelly Moiseenko,
policy of pension funds, both public and commercial,
It aimed primarily at preserving capital. Often
return on investment is just over indicators
inflation. Legislation of each country clearly states what
tools can use the funds for investing, but in any
if a large share always takes the most conservative tool –
government bonds.

“For private investors, indicators of economic situation in the country,
definitely is one of the major investments when a foreign
property, but for the successful investments should also be considered and a number of
other indicators: the analyst of real estate market over the past 15 – 20
years, indicators of construction, credit, and not only “
, – He speaks
expert.

According to Igor Indriksons need to look not only where
pension funds and large real estate funds invest their money,
but in which Property format they invested.

“A private investor
emotional and more drawn to the property by the sea or to the luxury
apartments, while the funds no matter what to buy: hostel
a block of flats or parking – fund are concerned only potential risks and
yield, no emotion “
, – He explains the expert.

For example, he said, the US funds are buying apartments from 50 thousand. Up
350 thousand. Dollars, and not at all expensive real estate in Manhattan.

“So,
successful funds mainly invest in commercial and
not residential property. At the same time investments are made in
highly facilities, the management of which (especially in Europe)
entrusted to a special management companies. The total percentage of investments in
property does not exceed for European pension funds 10 – 15%
available funds. In the USA, this value is even smaller – 5% “
, – says the president of the International real estate agency Gordon Rock Stanislav Zingel.

Major acquisitions Western PF made on the Russian real estate market, however, mainly in the commercial segment. Thus, the Austrian pension fund Immoeast
acquired two shopping centers in Moscow. We are talking about “The Golden sites
Babylon “and” Fifth Avenue. ” Another Austrian Meinl pension fund
European Land invested in part of the areas of trade and entertainment centers
“Park House” in Volgograd, Yekaterinburg and Kazan. In turn, in its
time controlled CDP Canadian pension fund investment
“Seasons» Ivanhoe Cambridge fund has bought a shopping center in Moscow.

have doubts

Western funds provide a good example, but not so simple. According to Stanislav
Singel, one can hardly say that all investments are correct PF, as their investment strategies
derivative are two components:

– National legislation,
regulating the activities of pension funds in order to maintain
pension savings,

– The desire of management control
companies earn.

“If the first component is not sufficiently developed, it is often pension
funds invest in highly risky assets and contribute to the development
speculative trends, including the housing market. But, on the contrary,
when unnecessary overregulation retirement savings legislation
inflation eats and real estate markets do not receive the life-giving
investment “
, – said the expert.

According to him, in those countries where the wisdom of legislators harmoniously
combined with the “greed” of management, pension funds operate
most successfully. That is, it all depends on a specific country and
pension fund. The recent crisis has shown how successful and
sad stories of the investment of pension funds.

For example, Global Norwegian pension fund carried
investments in the US mortgage securities, thereby actually trusting
funds of the investors of the residential real estate market of the country.
Came the crisis has shown the fallacy of this strategy. After all, this segment hardest hit during the crisis. Not by chance
Only in 2009, Global lost 90 billion dollars.

“Against this backdrop, US pension funds, after huge losses in the 90’s
the last century, very carefully invested in the sector
commercial property – only in highly liquid objects. Therefore,
As of 2008, the period of the global financial crisis,
commercial properties 200 bln, or only 5% has been invested 4
trillion dollars under management of funds. nagryanuvshaya crisis
He demonstrated that it was the high liquidity of commercial real estate
the major financial centers are best endured the crisis “
, – He speaks
Stanislav Zingel.

Thus, the loss of funds from
investments in offices and shopping centers were minimal, however, it is not
save funds generally from losses. Summed other investment
tools – only the first 15 months of the crisis funds lost 20%
own capitalization.

According to the chief economist UK “Finam Management” Aleksandra Osina,
making decisions based on the data of pension funds are very risky.

“The funds come on the market, when they see a trend, but the creation of such a trend
It takes the market, based on the assessment of a fund, on several
months to a few blocks, depending on the conservatism
assessments. Accordingly, at a time when the market is often short-term changes
direction, funds can either do not have time to buy, as it is now
It is happening in the stock market, or buy a “late” as has happened in
early 2011. “
, – said the expert.

According to him, focus on funds may be relevant for the period
low risk when observed credit and consumption boom in the economy,
but now the economy is rebuilt, and the private investor must be carried out
a deeper analysis of their investments. Not necessarily the results of this
analysis will be different from the statistics, which offers
monitoring of funds, but by itself statistics action is now funds
From this point of view is not enough.

According to the director of “Miel – DPM» Natalia Zavalishin,
the question in this case lies in the fact that foreign pension
Funds have significant assets that they can be placed on
long term.

“When it comes to private investment, then, as a rule,
individuals or small entities have other
budgets and are unlikely to repeat the entry in some markets at the same
conditions. A change in the timing and size of investment is unlikely to
reach the same profitability “
, – she explains.

What to do?

Analyze.

The main drawback in building an investment strategy
eye on the pension funds can be considered as a lack of information about their
activity. Says Stanislav Zingel, detailed information about
investment activities of pension funds can be found,
for example, in the catalog Money Market Directory of Pension Funds and
their Investment Managers, now as 40 years to publish Agency
Standard Poor’s. The cost of this tome, annually
2 sent out to thousands of leading financiers in the world, is about
$ 1,500. you can get fragmentary information on this area and
at a number of sites, disseminate knowledge on
free, but more often a fee.

“To find out information through the Internet sites of the largest real estate funds –
these websites publish analytics to investors every quarter. This intelligence can be trusted to 100%, as it is final.
In turn, their plans, such funds do not disclose “
, – says
Igor Indriksons.

According to Alexander Osin, can be carried out independently
study, which funds are invested in real estate, then look
their current positions. However, data in use will be free
keep up the present time more than a few weeks or
months, it is necessary to subscribe for more recent information on
official mailing, for instance, Reuter, DowJones, Bloomberg, etc., or rely on their own strength.

Source: RealEstate.Ru

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Passive investments may become basic method of

Passive investments may become the basic method of earnings

According to John
Rekentalera, vice-president of the Center
Morningstar research, passive
investment when using index
tracking mutual funds and ETF,
It is now an almost basic
approach in the market.

He points out that
Passive products captured 68% pure
sales for the 12 months (from June 2013 to
June 2014). Active mutual funds
mostly inefficient and costly
funds, where professionals work,
trying to beat the market-driven,
to get only 32% of the cost
of net sales.

"active managers
go to the periphery", – said Rekentaler
the publication on Wednesday in Morningstar edition.

ETF funds (less than 1% of them
are active funds) in terms of
the market share occupied by 35%, whereas passive
mutual funds obtained 33% pure
sales, and as a result the overall share of
68% of the market for passive products for
annual period.

If you start to learn
sales data more deeply, it is
It seems even bleaker for those who hold
active stocks. "If not for the international
and target-date funds flows,
active action is not taken in the past year
I have a penny of new money"- he wrote
he.

However, the active
International equity funds continue
to attract investors. But they
generally not as successful as they were
in the 1990s. This sounds very similar to the
Dallas Cowboys (national football team
It was the most successful in the 90’s) but …
let’s go back to the version Rekentalera.

"active managers
international fund were pretty
degree at the peak of success in the 1990s,".
– he says. “These managers are just falling
down in this decade of downward
Japanese shares, which led to total
tendency among investors to gain
funds within the country and to invest
their activities abroad. ” And now, it seems,
We need to re-do the “inoculation”
to sales success continued.

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IchiTime

IchiTime

IchiTimetrading robot for MetaTrader 5. Based on the indicator Ichimoku (Ichimoku Kinko Hyo). Trading mechanism is fully automated. Some options depend on the market time. Best results are achieved in a trending market.

trading strategy

The adviser works at the intersection of Tenkan-Sen (Tenkan Sen) and the Kijun-Sen (Kijun Sen). Due to the nature of the Ichimoku, the robot is effective only in a trending market. Suitable conditions often occur when the market two trading sessions running simultaneously. In these tests at the history, we have a pair EURUSD, the timer is set at 12:00 – 16:00 GMT, the broker time – 15:00 – 19:00. At this time, open to both London and New York trading sessions.

On one of the screenshots below show how you can choose the other couples and a timer to search for the most appropriate time. Robot tested in the “All ticks” on M12 with standard parameters Ishimoku without stop-loss, take profit and trailing stop. Maximum Drawdown is close to the mean value of 30%. The minimum deposit depends on your money management.

Requirements and Recommendations: suitable for use with any broker, provided that the market is trending.

Symbols: any

Input parameters

One of the screenshots below shows how to change the advisor mode.

  • Stop loss: Stop Loss (0 – no stop-loss).
  • Take Profit: Take Profit (0 – no take profit).
  • ECN: set true If you are working with ECN / performance on the market.
  • Use Trailing Stop: with true using a trailing stop.
  • Trailing Stop Start: Set the start trailing stop.
  • Trailing Stop Stop: Set the end of the trailing stop.
  • Lots: The number of lots to trade.
  • Time Filter: with true Advisor runs at a specific time
  • tme Start: The start of trade
  • Time End: During the Trade Deadline
  • tenkan Sen: Tenkan-sen
  • kijun Sen: Kijun-sen
  • Senkou Span B: Span B

recommendations

  • If the market too long in a flat, it is recommended to suspend the councilor. Perhaps the market is waiting for a some important financial news.
  • Spend backtesting and forward testing on demo account to find the best settings and suitable trading hours.

When testing the strategy tester MetaTrader results may vary, as the adviser takes into account the rate of price changes and slippage, which the tester handled correctly enough. Since the tester is not working with the actual ticks, the test results should not be considered in the evaluation of the EA. It is strongly recommended that you check the trading robot on a demo account.
IchiTime

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FXS Espresso

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Exclusive skin for graphics, dedicated to lovers of delicious coffee ūüôā

Features

  • Adorns the background graphic coffee cups
  • Replace spark of color
  • It sets a positive mood for successful trading

settings

  • Bars Color Scheme – color candles scheme (light / dark)
  • Grid Color Scheme – color grid scheme (light / dark)
  • Show Grid – draw grid (on / off)

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Martex

Martex

Martex (From the words “martingale »and« Forex“) – Universal Advisor Forex hedging and with averaging strategy (Martingale). Martex may average not only their orders, but other orders opened by another advisor or trader opened manually. To do this, just set in the advisor magic number -1 (minus one). Advisor will be interesting for both beginners and experienced traders.

Key features and benefits advisor Martex

  • can open orders in both directions, to buy and sell at the same time;
  • Martingale is possible “foreign” orders, including a trader to manually open and even with “castle”;
  • averaging two styles to choose from (Classic and Aggressive);
  • two martingale strategy to choose, according to various indicators;
  • it is possible to work only with the Martingale initial volume of the lot;
  • It can operate without the martingale, as a normal trend Advisor;
  • there is a stop-loss, which can optionally disable;
  • It has separate indicators for the opening of trading positions and martingale;
  • It has two configurable timeframe separately for trading and separately for martingale;
  • You can set a level of drawdown at which the adviser will suspend its work;
  • You can set your stop out level (Stop Out) at which the Advisor will automatically close all open positions;
  • there is a trailing stop and breakeven for single orders and orders for averaging;
  • closing with a profit of single orders or a series of orders martingale when the direction of moving averages;
  • while profit single orders are closed for take-profit, and a series of open orders for martingale in the percentage of the profit from the Balance;
  • You can set a limit on the number of orders open on martingale;
  • Advisor to work with “hot keys” with the help of which you can very quickly close all open positions in the terminal;
  • Martex adviser works on both the dollar (USD) and the ruble bills (RUR);
  • It works on accounts with the quotation 4 and 5 decimal places.

Councilor parameters (reduced)

Block 1 «GENERAL SETTINGS» – General settings.

  • Magic Number – magic number;

Block 2 «RISK MANAGEMENT» – risk management.

  • Take Profit – Take Profit;
  • Stop Loss – stop-loss;
  • Use stop loss – use stop-loss;
  • Lots – setting a fixed volume of the lot;
  • AutoLot – Risk in% – automatic calculation of the volume of the lot.

Block 3 «INDICATORS FOR TRADING» – displays for trade.

  • Timeframe for Moving Averages (MA) – timeframe for the MA;
  • Close orders with profit on MAs – close orders at a change in direction MA;
  • Period Long MA – long period MA;
  • Shift Long MA – long shift MA;
  • Type Long MA – long range type MA (calculation method);
  • Price Long MA – range of prices for a long MA;
  • Period Short MA – short period MA;
  • Shift Short MA – shift short MA;
  • Type Short MA – short range type MA (calculation method);
  • Price Short MA – range of prices for short MA.

Block 4 «TRAILING STOP AND BREAKEVEN» – trailing stop and breakeven.

Block 5 «MARTINGALE PARAMETERS» – Martingale parameters.

  • Martingale on / off – incl. / off. martingale;
  • Profit% martingale – percentage of profits at Martingale, at which all orders are closed;
  • Drawdown in%, to stop trading – a specified percentage of the drawdown when reaching trade will be suspended;
  • Stop Out%, close all orders – a specified percentage of the loss after which all orders are closed;
  • Loss in pips for martingale – loss of points after which work will begin martingale;
  • Step martingale – the minimum step between orders martigeyla;
  • Multiplier (Classic) – factor for classical martinegeyla;
  • Style martingale (Classic, Aggressively) – martingale style choice;
  • Divider (Aggressively) – divider for aggressive martingale;
  • Maximum number of orders – the maximum number of orders for martingale.
  • Allow hedging – permit trade in both directions (to allow hedging);
  • Percentage for closing hedging orders – profit percentage at which you want to close the hedged order;
  • Multiple close by – close by opposite positions.

Block 6 «MARTINGALE INDICATORS» – Indicators for martingale.

Block 7 «WORK FRIDAY» – work on Friday.

Complete Guide to the adviser Martex, test reports, as well as set-files to it can be found in the “Discussion” section.

Martex

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Open All FREE

Open All FREE

Indicator Open All It uses a simple market information “Opening the candles.”

This is a free version of a paid indicator.

This tool can display all the opening price on all timeframes for information about the strength of the trend.

You can select up to 28 instruments in all time frames to display 252 and receive data values.

Indication customizable, you can select a character, and enable / disable the required timeframes.

When used correctly, the indicator you get valuable help to determine correlations and spreads in the market.

It is an indispensable tool in the trading platform.

Input parameters:

  • ONLY AUDUSD
  • Visible_ .. – enable / disable the timeframes M5, M15, M30, H1, H4, D1, W1, MN1.
  • Colors – color adjustment for positive and negative values, Dodges, the text color.
  • TextFontSize – font size of the text.
  • SeparateSymbols – separator character, true / false value

Open All FREE

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Regulators in doubt where to wait for crisis

Regulators in doubt: where to wait for a crisis?

The financial crisis seems to have become an expected part of the economic cycle, but they seldom repeat themselves. In 1980-ies. was a hotbed of Latin America, in the late 1990s. – Russia and South-East Asia in 2007-2008. – US banks and the real estate market.
Today, some fear that a new crisis will happen in the asset management sector.

sector companies control $ 87 trillion, of BlackRock investment fund in the world’s biggest manages assets of $ 4.4 trillion, which is higher than the balance of any bank giant.
After the recent financial crisis, regulators have tightened business rules for banks: now they must have more capital and sufficient liquidity to cope with short-term pressures. But it can be an act of “the last and decisive battle.”

Having a situation where banks have sharply reduced their lending, companies are increasingly turning to debt instruments (which are mostly owned by investment funds) for lending, writes the British magazine The Economist.
asset management companies have been the cause of the financial problems in the past.

The collapse in 1998, the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management, which led by industry veterans, professors, and two Nobel Prize winners, has led to this shock on Wall Street and the urgent intervention of the Federal Reserve. Trying to save two hedge fund was one of the main reasons for the collapse of Bear Stearns in 2008
That same year, the money market funds managed by a group of Reserve, announced that the net value of its assets fell below $ 1 ( “break the buck”), with the result that the Fed once again had to intervene urgently.
All these events are quite concerned about the regulators.

In January, the international organization Financial Stability Board (Financial Stability Board) published a consultative paper, which offers qualified Asset management companies as “systemically important financial institutions” and their activities are strictly regulated.
The latest report of the Bank of England expressed concern about pension funds and insurance companies that are no longer performing the role of stabilization in the market and are increasingly using short-term market decline to make a profit by buying cheap assets.
In response, the asset management sector expressed their counterarguments. Firstly, funds act as stewards of capital clients, which is placed in separate accounts (with a third party, they act as gatekeepers). Banks such as Lehman Brothers, on the contrary, speculating customers money on their behalf.
Even if the asset management company will declare bankruptcy, its assets will be transferred to a competitor without losses to investors.

Hundreds of closed-end mutual funds every year, and their care has minimal impact on the market and does not require a rescue from the government.
Secondly, a comparison with incorrectly banks; except for hedge funds, asset management companies tend not to work with borrowed money. BlackRock balance of only $ 8.7 billion, while HSBC is almost $ 2.7 trillion, which is 300 times greater. Thus, the funds less vulnerable to an unexpected drop in prices for assets than banks that confirmed the crisis of 2008
Third, there is little evidence that the asset management company can become a cause of panic in the market. According to a nationwide non-profit organization The Investment Company Institute, the fall of 2008 or the stock market is at its lowest point in the mutual funds accounted for only 6% of all the shares of sales in New York.
All these arguments are quite convincing, and regulators do not hide that they are in a difficult situation, like between a rock and a hard place. Their goal is to anticipate future crises that may not be similar to the past. Following this logic, they are closely monitoring those sectors in which there was no crisis.

This alarm can be compared with the risk to the well-known game “Beat the mole” (Whack-a-mole), when the hammer has one seat and a toy mole jumps out from another location.
Some of the problems that worry regulators were partly their fault. For example, lack of liquidity in the corporate bond market is a result of the restrictions imposed after the crisis. If regulators this time decide to “put pressure” on the investment funds and asset management companies, they can get a situation similar to the game “Beat the mole.”

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ACI Moving Average

ACI Moving Average

Tired select setting indicator, losing precious time? Tired of the uncertainty of their optimality? Frightening uncertainty in their profitability? Then ACI indicator (automatically calibrated indicator) is designed just for you. Running it, you can easily eliminate these three questions, only doing one simple action: clicking on a single “Calibrate” button. And in order to achieve the highest efficiency, to make enough just another additional step: move the slider to the maximum capacity.

ACI will save you a lot of time that can be spent on more useful exercise, for example, on vacation, but the efficiency will increase many times. On top, thanks to a separate graphical user interface, you can not only observe, but also to easily change the display settings on the fly at the same time with the ability to visually select the chart area for their calibration.

calibrated indicator

As used indicator calibrated standard Moving Average, which is present in the terminal. Are used as calibratable parameters:

  1. The averaging period for calculating the moving average.
  2. The shift indicator in relation to the price chart.
  3. The averaging method:
    • simple averaging,
    • exponential averaging,
    • smoothed average,
    • linearly-weighted averaging.
  4. Used Price:
    • The closing price,
    • the opening price,
    • The maximum price for the period,
    • The minimum price for the period,
    • The median price,
    • The typical price
    • The weighted average price.

To calculate the quality (profitnye) using traditional signals to input and output:

If the closing price of the last bar formed above or equal to the value of the indicator in the same bar, the signal is considered for purchase. Otherwise, the signal will be considered for sale.

ACI

Automatic calibrator and calibrated by the indicator can be controlled thanks to the graphical interface of ACI, which reduces the number of actions on your part to a minimum. To start the calibration process, you must click on the “Calibrate” corresponding button. When power calibration mark reaches said calibration stop or else it can be stopped by clicking.

Furthermore calibration, ACI also calculates and displays the fly quality (profitnye) calibrated indicator parameters selected for a specified time section of the chart, the calculation is performed by the method specified in the settings (setting “Criterion for calibration”). Temporary change of land on the chart, you can use levels, it needs to move the cursor to the upper or lower part of the level, select it and click start moving.

If necessary, you can increase or decrease the power ( “Power”) calibrator by moving the slider on the clockwise or counter-clockwise, respectively, where the dial a transparent area allows you to adjust from 0% to 20% of the total power, the green from 20% to 50% , and red from 50% to 100%.

If necessary, one can work with multiple copies of the indicator on the same graph.

settings

The indicator has a lot of settings, ranging from setting calibrated indicator and ending settings GUI ACI.

parameter name
Description
Moving Average default settings
Default MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average by default. 
Default MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart by default. 
Default MA Method The default method of averaging. 
Default MA Price The default price. 
Power
Default Power Default power to achieve the calibration.
Maximum Power  Maximum power.
Criterion
Criterion for Calibration  Criterion calibration. Method for calculating the quality (profitnye).
If you select “Total_Net_Profit”, the quality = total net profit (in pips) – the total net loss (in pips).
If you select “Total_Net_Profit_Total_Drawdown”, then profitnye = total net profit (in pips) – the total net loss (in pips) – the total of all signals maximum drawdown (in pips).
As the prices are the only bars’ closing prices.
Selected interval of the chart 
 Start bar  Bar to indicate the start time segment.
 Finish bar  Bar to indicate the end time segment.
 Moving Average regulator settings
 Minimum MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average, at least.
 Minimum MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart, at least.
 Minimum MA Method The method of averaging, minimum.
 Minimum MA Price Used price, at least.
 Maximum MA Period averaging period for calculating the moving average, maximum.
 Maximum MA Shift The shift indicator relative to the chart, maximum.
 Maximum MA Method The method of averaging, maximum.
 Maximum MA Price Used price maximum.
UI panel settings
 Panel size The size (in pixels) of the panel. 0 Рautomatic calculation of the size.
 Panel Transparent The level of transparency of the panel. 0 Рfully visible, 100 Рcompletely transparent.
 Panel color The main color of the panel.
 Font color of panel Color panel fonts.
 Quality color  Color quality index (profitnye).

ACI Moving Average

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Brent

Brent

So, my first post will be about oil. As you can see – this friend is hanging out in a big flag of many months. And approximately in the region of 1330- 1300, I plan to buy it, the order is worth a stop while in the 50 n, the expected growth of 500 and above, I would like to take 1,000 points if the nerves will stand, a hundred points will translate into b / y.

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