Frank is growing, in spite of everything
The Swiss franc strengthened on Thursday, after the central bank abandoned the introduction of negative interest rates on deposits, but has confirmed his intention to defend the lower limit set by them for the euro / franc in 2011 at the level of 1.2000. Swiss National Bank has introduced a binding to the euro at the peak of euro crisis, after the massive inflow of foreign capital, streamed into the country in search of refuge. Exchange rate the Swiss franc against the single currency closer to parity, jeopardizing the future of Swiss exporters and intensifying downward pressure on inflation. The central bank promised to buy euros in unlimited quantities to stop the strengthening of the franc on the border 1.20. It was assumed that this measure will be temporary, but it’s been three years, and the upward pressure on the franc does not weaken. Moreover, it has even increased as stimulating monetary policy of the ECB is the euro devaluation. Frank crept close to 1.20 immediately after reduction by the ECB and the launch of a quantitative easing program announcement at the September meeting.
"The three-month Libor rate close to zero, so the minimum exchange rate remains the main instrument for regulating monetary conditions"- Central Bank officials said, adding that the economic situation is deteriorating, and the threat of deflation takes real shape of the strengthening of the franc. According to analysts, the SNB has refrained from intervening in the foreign exchange market, because in August the Central Bank’s foreign exchange reserves have not changed. Some investors had hoped that Switzerland will follow the example and the ECB will lower the deposit rate below zero, to weaken the franc – that is, financial institutions will have to pay extra for hosting central bank money in his accounts.
The Central Bank made it clear that they are willing to resort to such a measure. In addition, in an accompanying statement said that the Central Bank "I am ready to buy foreign currency in unlimited quantities"To achieve its political objectives, and, if necessary, take further measures without delay" – it says that the Bank is ready to act at any time, not only at regular meetings. However, until they decide to leave a negative rate reserve. "They keep abreast of"- shoals Michael Sneyd, strategist at BNP Paribas, but Dzheyn Fouli of Rabobank noted a high probability of intervention. A negative rates will remain as a last resort, in the event that the ECB will start an ambitious program of QE. Frank grew by 0.5% against the US dollar and by 0.3% to 1.2069 against the euro. Strengthening of the franc during the euro crisis is likely to have been due to the stampede of investors, but now it seems, is structural. Over the past year the currency weakly responds to risk aversion. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts noted that Switzerland has a chronic imbalance of payments, where the current account surplus is too high, so that it can be eliminated through capital flight. Source: Forexpf.Ru – Forex Market News
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