Most stocks are now threatened by rise of Fed

Most stocks are now threatened by the rise of Fed rates

Imagine this
picture: do you celebrate your birthday,
and all around non-stop talking about
your death. Such is the life of the bull
the stock market, which is officially “notes”
six years this week.

Instead of
focus on the 200% increase in the stock
market, where investors are more worried
about whether there is a likelihood that the stock
They will live and still see the seventh day
Birth “bull market”. The biggest
threat for him is just a rise in interest
rates from the Fed.

Remember how the action
fell on Friday – after a few days
after the Nasdaq broke through the level in
5000 points for the first time in 15 years. so investors
We were surprised by the strong February
employment report, and analysts
indicate a high probability of raising rates
The Fed in June. In other words, good
unexpectedly bad news
– for the market, at least.

«S P 500 awoke after
hangover from euphoria Nasdaq, then succumbed
casual “worker” (Refers to the reports on the labor market – ca. Perevi.). fright “, – writes
Sam Stoval in the report, chief investment
strategist S P Capital IQ.

So why is Wall Street
I lost sleep over some wretched
rate hike?

1. This is the end of light
money. To raise interest rates –
it’s like to push the punch bowl away
from the stock market. One of the locomotives
bull market since 2008 – it is a policy
Fed to keep rates close to zero.
These emergency actions pushed
investors into riskier assets,
making it less attractive alternative.
Remember that cash in the bank virtually
do not work, and bond yields
It was extremely low, which is why investors
rushed into action.

2. Historical “red
flags. ” If you look at history,
then the fears of investors about the
rate hikes have a certain
meaning. After the Second World War was
16 cycles, during which the Fed raised
interest rates. Risks are particularly acute
felt when the Fed raises rates
first. In the six months before or
after the first increase rate of 500 S P
experienced a decline in the amount of 5% – more than 13 times,
According Stovala. It means that
More than 80% of the time the stock market suffered
hit when the Fed raised rates.

Is the market chained
Fed “handcuffs”? some investors
already afraid of negative reaction in the
time – Dow Jones fell by 279
points on Friday in response to the news
that the unemployment rate fell
to seven-year low. And although the market
recovered slightly on Monday,
the ongoing turmoil in the stock
the market can actually become
Fed “handcuffs.”

"If this continues,
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC),
It is not likely to move. Fed plays
in the stock market. Let us not
pretending that nothing is happening".
– says Michael Block, chief market
strategist Rhino Trading. he pointed
the fact that in October the stock
the market began "jump" after the statement of the head
St. Louis Fed James Bullard, who
He suggested the central bank to expand
its bond buying program.
Investors reaching for any comment,
Although the Fed is ultimately completed
quantitative easing program.
"Here’s how the Fed twisted these days"-
Block wrote.

Suppose that the Fed
It is actually ready to go ahead and
will raise rates in June or at the end of the year.
How the market will react?

History does not give
the ability to accurately predict how
It will be hard after the Fed raising rates.
In past times was different negative
the reaction in the stock market, including
three bear market, when stocks fell
at least 20%. Stock market
also survived two rollback (decrease
at least 5% but less than 10%) and two correction
10% or more.

Stoval believes not
will bear market,
especially because the US economy
It looks healthy, corporate earnings
continue to grow, and the shares still look
better than the alternative assets. But
one thing is clear that a correction is long overdue.
S P 500 did not suffer from decrease of 10%
or more over the last four years (from
October 2011). This usually happens
once a year and a half.

Correction may be
terrible for investors, but it may be
it is a healthy thing in the long
term. This will allow cash
sit on the sidelines, then to
you can use them for purchases at more attractive
prices and ease fears that stocks
It became too expensive. The average take for S P 500 just four months,
to get back to break-even after
correction, said Stoval. "although this
it may be appropriate – to prepare
to correction, but you need to immediately prepare
and to restore the – ultimately,
and we may be able to extend this year
on good colors and then we will celebrate
It has seven years of the bull market", – he said.

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Live ratio Between tow symbols

Live ratio Between tow symbols

This indicator simply divides the main character with another character, and displays the result as a graph (similar to RSI). It also displays the latest value of the ratio in the indicator window.

This helps you to manage hedging or market analysis.

For example, if the price of gold is 1200, and the price of silver – 16, this indicator shows the result of 75 in the indicator window. We’ll also show the history of the results for later prices according to your timeframe. This allows you to find the best prices to hedge two characters. In this example, the price of gold is sometimes increases and silver do not grow with the same pressure as gold. You can define a situation of this indicator and to hedge these characters, selling gold and buying silver.

indicator settings

  • Second Symbol – the exact name of the second character, which will share the current character.
  • Do you want to active alert – Set to true to enable sound notifications.
  • Alert when value more than – if the indicator value is greater than the specified here will be supplied to the alert.
  • Alert when value less than – if the indicator value is below the specified here will be supplied to the alert.

For example, if you open a graph price of gold, and you want to split the price of gold on the price of silver, as the second character must be specified “SILVER”.

Be careful, the second parameter is a character-sensitive, you must enter the name exactly as it appears in the list of terminal symbols.

Live ratio Between tow symbols

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RunwiseFX Configurable Strategy Automator DEMO

RunwiseFX Configurable Strategy Automator DEMO

This flexibly customizable toolbar to trade manually also allows
automate certain trading activities, such as notifications,
opening, closing and partial closure of transactions, scaling,
setting stop-loss, take profit and much more. provided
interactive controls on the graph, such as golf ticks
and buttons. Advisor includes capital management, hidden
Stop Loss, Take Profit and pending orders, trailing stop, transaction log
etc. Also supports the use of multiple accounts.

This demo version works only on CADCHF

Full version: https://www.mql5.com/ru/market/product/9602

Characteristics

  • Automates the trading rules, read them their text file – we will gladly help you prepare a file.
  • Rules can perform various tasks, including alerts,
    opening / closing of the transaction, setting levels of stop-loss and take-profit,
    send push-notifications, screenshots and more.
  • Rules can be based on user indications
    indicators on multiple timeframes, and also include other
    Information from-in the MetaTrader, for example, on the price action.
  • Rules can be interactive thanks to the controls
    on the chart, for example, include a field for enabling / disabling rules
    or button to start the rule at the click of a mouse.
  • Fully compatible with the strategy tester and Optimizer –
    Use Advisor to optimize strategies, automatic sorting
    different values ​​for the key parameters.
  • It works with multiple accounts without
    Trade copyist, since different instances can counselor
    communicate with each other.
  • The calculation of the lot size – on the basis of risk as a% of the funds in the account or a fixed value.
  • It can be used for manual trading in one click, semi-automatic and fully automatic modes.
  • News and necessary actions associated with them.
  • Hidden levels stop loss take profit and pending orders.
  • Ability to manually place the graph line stop loss, take profit and pending orders.
  • The ability to install the hidden levels of pending orders to be notified or the opening of a market order. Based on the closing price of the candle can be set to the time they expire.
  • Automatic stop-loss – uses professional-level indicator.
  • Automatically take profit on the basis of risk-profit.
  • Trailing stop. It is activated when the profit target.
  • Sets the levels of stop-loss / take profit for the broker, but at a greater distance than the virtual / actual levels.
  • Scaling transactions increasing and decreasing them, the automatic scaling when the price level.
  • error handling, checking the spread and so on, it is necessary to live accounts.
  • Fixing time of order execution, slippage, and arrived in a CSV-file.
  • Support for hedging and FIFO rules.
  • Automatically takes screenshots at the opening of the transaction (can be disabled).
  • Writing in Time magazine order execution, slippage, and arrived in a CSV-file.
  • Includes indicators of the trend in the number of time frames,
    support and resistance, pivot points, customizable display
    Average True Range (or Average Daily Range), displays the current spread
    prices and supply and demand of large text with color variation in
    price change.
  • Includes rules for I / O on the basis of the trend, is automatically transferred into the black, button closing all deals.
  • A growing library of rules that you can copy and paste
    in the configuration file, for example, automatic closing deals before
    the release of important news.
  • Support for multiple accounts. Actions on the main account can be copied recipient accounts.

Using

Check out the attached video and screenshots, as well as
additional information, which will be placed on the tab
“Talk” product.

Please note, when using the strategy tester test should
It is started at the normal market rate, to buttons and selection fields
It worked. Alerts are displayed in the “History” tab. restriction on
the tester is that it is impossible to calculate / display the week and
monthly rotation lines.

Our Other Products

  • Market Trending indicator: https://www.mql5.com/ru/market/product/8353
  • Trend Strength Indicator: https://www.mql5.com/ru/market/product/13301

RunwiseFX Configurable Strategy Automator DEMO

Video

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Integra Module

integra Module

integra Module – semi-automatic trading system.

Purpose:

  • Semi-automated method, in which the trader puts an order, and their adviser accompanies before closing
  • The use of aid to other trading systems, as an assistant to reduce sagging lotnosti series of warrants
  • As a tool that is able to market to the flat portion of lower lotnost sagging series of orders and bring it to the closing of take-profit. 

Algorithms used by the system:

Take profit in the deposit currency, implemented virtually in the form of a graphic line. 

Trailing Stop (trawl profit) realized virtually, but it is possible to connect the physical and offset from the virtual to the set value. 

A storage buffer of profit. The meaning of the following: we have a series of orders that are in loss, and the market is in motion to the flat; If this option is enabled, all earnings, which receives a trader from some of their trade or work overlap module or partial closing of orders is stored in a global variable. After the profit obtained by different methods, will exceed the loss on sagging series parameter setting DefaultProfit, all orders series closed at a loss, thus we take only their income from DefaultProfit, and the money that was earned, albeit closing unresponsive series orders.

The system of “flippers flail” is nothing but the activation without the loss of placing the order, StartOrdLastTral parameter controls, with a series of orders to start trawl without loss.

System partial closing sagging lots. The meaning of the following: we have a series of sagging orders, the last series of the order goes into profit according to the method chosen, and their three

  • When 0, partial nibble off orders
  • If 1, a partial nearest order nibble
  • If two partial order nibble at the distal
  • If 3, partial nibble at the far and near warrants

Profit last order lotnosti produces partial closure according to the selected method. Example: Method 1, the last volume of the order of 0.5, coming in profits, closing 0.1 lots of loss in the penultimate volume of the order of 0.2, to the flat on the movement of the market, which opens at the maximum point of order, coming in profit, produces partial closure of unprofitable orders lotnosti in series.

Orders shut-off system slightly similar to a partial closing of the order, the difference lies in the fact that the system is set the order number, from which it will start to work. When you exit this order in the profits, loss of long-range order overlapping series, exhibited +% of the profits that the system should get at overlapping, closes the order. It turns out the last order blocked the loss of the first and earned little profit% at this overlap. The overlap may be two levels when the last order covers loss far, as well as when the last and penultimate warrant out in profit, covering losses far, the profit is already considered by the percentage of the penultimate.

The system of partial closure and overlapping orders at the coincidence of conditions just does not work, the EA activated system trawl data systems with pass rates in the profits of the trawl line is pulled after the price of the set value, the centerfold prices triggered a particular unit, depending on what activated conditions.

Informative display: inform the trader about the current market situation shows lotnost orders along the lines of their profit / loss, the distance to the bezubytka and draining the deposit, as well as a block of profit, which displays the profit / loss in the currency to / from points on the day, week, month , year. The mapping of the spread and the current price of a currency pair.

Handy graphic trade panel. This panel is realized placing orders for the purchase / sale, as well as the pending stop and limit orders. In the parameters of the adviser to the panel exhibited initial value of the lot and the distance for pending and limit orders, etc. is displayed in the panel list to select the auction or distance. When you close a series of orders for the TP is not triggered stop-limit orders are deleted.

The simplest method of using the assistant:

We have a series of 10 differently directed orders, some of which is at a loss. These orders and tracking controls adviser. Looking at the situation mean that the algorithm of the adviser can not cope with the situation and a series of orders must be closed in such a way as not to reduce the amount of the deposit, but also earn a little.

Set to another currency pair chart Integra Module with the same magic-orders as in shopping EA. Pre recreating in the strategy tester such a situation, select the appropriate options trade-ins, so it easily on the slightest market movements could begin partial closure orders and work sagging ceilings. As a result, when paired advisor and module, as well as helping the manual panel, exposing the course of the market order, 2-3 days in most cases a lower lotnost series and close it on TA.

Integra Module

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GBPUSD analysis and forecast

GBP / USD: analysis and forecast

current
dynamics

During yesterday’s trading the GBP / USD pair returned
previous lows after significant growth in the medium. The pair was
due to the weakening of the US dollar. Investors disappointed with the results of the meeting
The Fed, which had become clear terms of higher interest rates. but
Fed Chairman announced that the strengthening of the national currency had a negative impact on
US exports and led to a slowdown of inflation, so tightening
Monetary policy will be conducted at a slower pace. Nevertheless, many
investors believe that rates will be raised even after the estimated timing,
but it has to happen before the end of this year.

Market confidence reinforced block
statistics from the USA Department of Employment (U.S. Department of Labor).
According to the report, the number of unemployment benefit on the applications was 291 per
thousand, lower than the forecast of 297,000. As a result, the pound dropped to a mark of 1.4688,
then consolidated near the 1.4750 mark.

levels
Support and Resistance

Levels of resistance: 1.4800 (Fibonacci correction level 23.6%), 1.4865 (level
38.2% Fibonacci correction), 1.4925 (50% Fibonacci correction level) 1.5010
(Maximum of yesterday).

Support levels: 1.4743 (Asian session low), 1.4688 (minimum
yesterday), 1.4629 (March 18 low), 1.4534 (lower line “Bands indicator
Bollinger “).

trading recommendations

recommended
open short positions at current price with the targets 1.4690 and 1.4630. Buy
it will be possible as soon as the price breaks through the level of 1.4800. The objectives of long positions
will be the levels 1.4865 and 1.4925.

GBPUSD analysis and forecast

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EURUSD general analysis

EUR / USD: general analysis

Current trend

The single European currency on the opening of trading on the foreign exchange
the market traded slightly higher against the US dollar at around
1.0843. After the Fed last week did not announce the exact timing of increase
interest rates, the EUR / USD pair is no longer actively decline. but
upward movement, most likely, is back, and the global trend will continue downward.
The difference in monetary policy between the US and the EU will continue to provide
pressure on the euro. The ECB continues to use a printed cash machine
fight deflation: in December as part of the program was TLTRO
granted loans amounting to 97.8 billion. Euro. According to preliminary estimates,
the total amount of injections into the real economy will be about 400 billion.
Euro.

Today, special attention should be paid to the speech head
ECB Mario Dragi, although it is unlikely he will be able to somehow reassure investors. Besides
of projected decrease in the index of consumer confidence in the euro area, which
also weaken the European currency.

Support and resistance levels

The immediate level of resistance is a mark 1.0864
(5/8 Murray level). The level of support is at around 1.0742
(4/8 Murray level).

trading recommendations

It is recommended to open short positions after the breakdown
the level of 1.0742 with protective orders near 1.0780 and
the purpose of 1.0620.

EURUSD general analysis

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In Europe multidirectional dynamics miners in

In Europe, multidirectional dynamics, miners in a minor key

Stock
Europe on Monday departs from the recent
Rally: very weak Chinese figures
knocked down mining stocks
companies. However, information on transactions
mergers and acquisitions helped save
the main European indices afloat.
At the time of 17.25 MSK composite index of the largest
European industrial companies Euro
Stoxx 50 added 0.46%; CAC 40
increased by 0.37%. But the DAX and
FTSE lost 0.04% and 0.22%
respectively.

Corporation
Nokia added 2% on the news
the possible sale of its units,
dealing cards. 5.9% added
Sydbank shares after
group presented the return program
redemption of shares.

predictable
We feel bad today
mining firms: BHP
Billiton and Anglo American lost
to 2% each. In addition to all the troubles
mining sector, Citigroup
also downgraded Metal
and mining industries to
“Neutral”. Today analytical
Bank department lowered its forecast
the cost of iron ore to 36 dollars
per tonne in the third quarter, more
strongly weakened the position of the miners on
market.

On
Volkswagen declined 1.7% quotes:
here erupted management
a crisis. Chief executive officer
Corporation, Martin Winterkorn, going
to fight for his position, although on Saturday
it became known that he had lost the confidence
shareholders.

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Gold continues to become cheaper

Gold continues to become cheaper

Gold
retreats for the third consecutive session.
At this time the decrease is due to comments
The Fed and the minutes of the March meeting
American regulator. increase
rates in the coming months not yet
finally got away with probabilities radar.

Gold
as a versatile non-interest in the case of growth
interest rate, the first in nearly 10
years, reduce its popularity among
investors.

Analyst
HSBC, Dzheyms Stil, said:
“The short-term outlook for gold
It looks weak, with a decline in the level of
resistance. ”

The spot
the price of gold fell by 0.4% to $ 1197.71
an ounce after reaching its
a session low at $ 1
195.70. Futures for the June delivery on
time 10.09 MSK traded at 195.80 per 1
troy ounce.

But
Some experts say that the experience
for gold yet. “The decline of gold
may be temporary, because the chances of
that the Fed will raise rates right now,
very little. It is necessary to take into account the extent to
Now the economy is fragile. It means,
that the current decline in gold prices may
It is just a technical correction.
Today, it may fall to $
In 1190, but in the coming weeks just
quietly return above $ 1,200, ”
– says Li Hui, an analyst at Phillip
Futures.

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Losing Trades Hedger

Losing Trades Hedger

Advisor trying to save your losing trades, placing pending orders on the entrance level of the market, as well as the stop-levels (stop loss hedged trade).

settings:

  • Lots – items that are added when triggered pending orders in the entry level market, as well as a stop at your initial order (stop loss hedged trade of your first order).
  • Magic Number – in case you want to trade multiple currencies in multiple charts.
  • Order comment – so you know what kind of deal is placed adviser.

Procedure:

  1. The market offers a deal to buy and set the deferred hedging order to sell your stop level (screenshot 1).
  2. When the price hedging sell orders Advisor will set aside an order to buy (screenshot 2) at the level of your initial market order.
  3. When the price reaches the pending order to buy Advisor will set aside an order to sell at your initial hedging warrants (screenshot 3).

And so on, until your losing trades will not be displayed in the profit (the sum of all transactions).

It is recommended to start trading with small lots. This will simplify the work with the losing trades.

Losing Trades Hedger

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Wall Street indexes rose

Wall Street indexes rose

America Stock
on Thursday showed an increase. DJIA
added 0,31%, S P 500 Index
to 0,45%, Nasdaq Composite firmed
0.48%.

Stock market
supported by the US statistics
Labor market: the average number of applications
for unemployment benefits over the past
month dropped to fifteen
minimum.

The largest growth
Energy was podyndeks S P
500, which by the close of trading
jumped by 1.5% as a result of rising prices
oil. Total increased 8 of 10 industry
S P 500 sectors, and that
offset disappointing
Reporting Alcoa, shares
which fell to 3.4%.

rose quotes
General Electric Co: shares rose
by 2.9%, as was information
the possible sale of the real estate portfolio
General Electric Investment
company Blackstone Group and Bank
Wells Fargo.

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